Skip to content

Commit

Permalink
Update paper.md
Browse files Browse the repository at this point in the history
  • Loading branch information
rjaneUCF authored Dec 12, 2024
1 parent 18c8587 commit 894557f
Showing 1 changed file with 1 addition and 2 deletions.
3 changes: 1 addition & 2 deletions joss_submission/paper.md
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -57,7 +57,6 @@ affiliations:
bibliography: paper.bib
aas-doi: "10.3847/xxxxx <- update this with the DOI from AAS once you know it."
aas-journal: "Journal of Open Source Software"

---

# Summary
Expand All @@ -73,7 +72,7 @@ The `MultiHazard` R package is designed to enable practitioners to estimate the

# Statement of need

The MultiHazard package was developed in collaberation with the South Florida Water Management District (SFWMD) to improve level of service assessments for coastal infrastructure affected by both inland and coastal drivers [@Jane:2020]. Initially, the package was created to implement the conditional sampling-copula theory approach. In two-sided conditional sampling a driver is conditioned to be extreme and paired with the maximum value of the other driver within a specified lag-time. The process is repeated with the drivers reversed yielding two conditional samples. The best fitting of 40 copulas are tested to model the dependence between drivers in each conditional sample. The isoline corresponding to a user specified return period is given by the outer envelope when overlaying the (conditional) contours from the copula model fit to each sample @Bender:2016, see Figure 1. To obtain a single design event, the probability of events on the isolines is calculated using an empirical density estimate, selecting the event with the highest probability. Some experts recommend sampling an ensemble of events from the isoline to account for uncertainty in design event selection which is also possible in the package. The conditional sampling – copula theory approach has continued to gain traction [@Kim:2023; @Maduwantha:2024] and in a review of the best-available, actionable science was highlighted as an approach that Federal agencies in the United States may wish to develop detailed technical guidance on how to use it meet their needs [@FFRMS:2023].
The `MultiHazard` package was developed in collaberation with the South Florida Water Management District (SFWMD) to improve level of service assessments for coastal infrastructure affected by both inland and coastal drivers [@Jane:2020]. Initially, the package was created to implement the conditional sampling-copula theory approach. In two-sided conditional sampling a driver is conditioned to be extreme and paired with the maximum value of the other driver within a specified lag-time. The process is repeated with the drivers reversed yielding two conditional samples. The best fitting of 40 copulas are tested to model the dependence between drivers in each conditional sample. The isoline corresponding to a user specified return period is given by the outer envelope when overlaying the (conditional) contours from the copula model fit to each sample @Bender:2016, see Figure 1. To obtain a single design event, the probability of events on the isolines is calculated using an empirical density estimate, selecting the event with the highest probability. Some experts recommend sampling an ensemble of events from the isoline to account for uncertainty in design event selection which is also possible in the package. The conditional sampling – copula theory approach has continued to gain traction [@Kim:2023; @Maduwantha:2024] and in a review of the best-available, actionable science was highlighted as an approach that Federal agencies in the United States may wish to develop detailed technical guidance on how to use it meet their needs [@FFRMS:2023].

![Caption for example figure.\label{fig:isolines}](Figure_1.png)

Expand Down

0 comments on commit 894557f

Please sign in to comment.