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updated to say that the area squared is the CRPS
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nicholasloveday committed Jan 13, 2025
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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion tutorials/CRPS_for_Ensembles.ipynb
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Expand Up @@ -121,7 +121,7 @@
"source": [
"# The ensemble forecast can be converted to a CDF\n",
"# When converted in a naive way we get the empirical CDF illustrated here. The larger the ensemble the smoother and more sensible this will be.\n",
"# The plot below also shows the CDF corresponding to the observation, and the area corrsponding to the CRPS.\n",
"# The plot below also shows the CDF corresponding to the observation. The area squared corresponds to the CRPS.\n",
"fcst_thresholds = numpy.linspace(0, 7, 700)\n",
"empirical_cdf = xarray.DataArray(\n",
" coords={\"temperature\": fcst_thresholds},\n",
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