This repo contains the codes of a default model in Julia. We study the benefits of introducing escape clauses into debt limit rules. These clauses mitigate the trade-off between expanding government transfers and repaying debt, that policymakers face in recessions. In adverse cycles, the government can issue more debt to sustain government transfers and debt payments, reducing both the probability of default and the sovereign spread. The benefits of escape clauses are present even when these are not active.
Description of files
Parameters.ipynb
: definition of parameters and declaration of arraysVFI.ipynb
: model solutionSimulation.ipynb
: model simulationfun_plots.ipynb
: auxiliary functions for plotsfun_procedures.ipynb
: auxiliary functionsMain.ipynb
: solution of the models and main results