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text
"In Digital Media, we continue to be the undisputed leader in helping customers inject creativity into their jobs, schoolwork and their daily lives"
Premiere Pro’s virtual reality workflows are seeing strong adoption with the majority of the films in the Virtual Reality category at Sundance having used it in their creative process
"Thanks to the completeness of our offering, our continued innovation and our growing partner network, we continue to see strong market momentum, with major customer wins this quarter at Dick’s Sporting Goods, Mercy Health, Hutchison UK, Autotrader"
"I think we’re continuing to seeing good strength across each of the groups, particularly as it relates to Q1. We saw some good SMB, small and medium business, demand that continues to do well"
"As you know that’s the team offering, which is a higher price point offering"
"I would say, Acrobat, had strong unit quarter that’s reflected both in Creative Cloud, as well as in Document Cloud"
"In addition to that, we continue to see good progress on retention"
"And so, as people migrate off the performance or the promotional pricing and get on to the full plans; and then new unit adoption, as well for the new offerings, especially the photography solution; and international continue to do well"
"And also, there is no question that we’re combating piracy as the ability to get boxes in most countries diminishes"
"So, I would say across the spectrum of the different offerings"
"And from an ARPU point of view, as well Sterling, I think Mark mentioned that in his prepared remarks"
"I think big picture, the conversations that we’re having day-in and day-out, our enterprises recognizing that digital is transforming their agenda"
And then they decompose that into what are the key things that they have to do in order to use that as an opportunity rather than a challenge
"I think if you talk to also the consulting companies, they're being brought in to aspirationally help all of these companies, rethink their business model processes and people"
"But top of the agenda for even the CEO and the CIO and CFO, is what are we doing with respect to delivering a better engaging customer experience? Next week at Summit, we'll talk a little bit more about how that expands on our vision or what we can do, and what people are asking to step up and do"
"But I think the way it manifests itself in the business is people are saying if it's just so key to my future, I want to bet and standardize on companies that have a comprehensive platform, which is why we're always pleased to see us being rated as the number one platform that exists for this kind of technology solution"
"Walter, maybe I'll give you some color which we didn't touch on as another demand driver, which is in the enterprise"
"As you know, we are coming up on the anniversary of lot of the three year ETLAs"
And the first time when we did the three year ETLAs Creative Cloud was relatively new
"And so, what we were doing was in-effect providing them with subscription model that mirrored their, what I would call custom way of buying CS in the past"
And so that clearly represents an increase in ARPU as well
"And so, that's really what's still driving a lot of the upside in ARR with the potential to look at optimizing further out as well"
"It's a really good question Heather, and there's no question actually in our mind that where Creative Cloud was first the door opener for us to have conversations with the enterprise"
"There is an increased expectation from customers that the content lifecycle that we talk about, namely, the ability for them to accelerate how they deliver campaigns or how they personalize the experience that they wish to deliver across all of these different channels, is predicated on making sure that that content from, content all the way from creation through asset management and all the way out to delivery, is more seamless than it’s ever been"
"So, I would say three years ago, two years ago, we were talking about that as one of the benefits"
I would say today every conversation with the enterprises they see that as a differentiator for us
And the expectation is that’s how they will accelerate both the campaigns and how they will ensure personalize delivery
"Let me take the second first, which is, you’ll get an update as well as Summit"
"And from my point of view, the benefit with the Microsoft relationship is really customer driven"
"Customers are asking for integration with Azure, Power BI, as well as Dynamics"
But next week we’ll give you a little bit of an update on that
"On the first question, as it relates to the competitors, I think we have talked about"
"Clearly, there are other players that you are alluding to that that are also seeing this as a market opportunity"
But our track record and our winning percentage record in the areas that we’re strong continues to be excellent
"And I think our vision of where we want to take this and how we want to continue to expand it, I think it still makes us a unique leader"
"But certainly, there are other players in this market as well Keith"
"So, that's one area that we're continuing to make sure we invest"
The second one that tends to be a way in which you compete effectively is the inventory
"So, I think having the inventory and having the inventory across different kinds of assets, including premium and including partnerships with some of the people that you're talking about, that also helps us ensure that we're competitively, either ahead of the market or at least in line with the market"
"And the third one that we think about when we think about stock is how good is our technology to find the right asset, based on the intelligence that we can provide"
And that's where I think you know we will demonstrate superior advantage to anything else that’s out there
"Because our ability to understand these assets and, irrespective of what keyword is being used to search for a particular asset return the right"
So in other words search relevance and search is going to be a key part of it
"And I think at MAX, we showed you a lot of really cool ways in which we will make that more relevant"
It’s an area we’ll continue to invest in
"I would say actually on the field side and on the partner side, we have evolved that over many areas"
Where we think we have a world class organization that does that
"In some cases, you have those deals, the larger the size the time taken can increase, but that’s why we want to build a healthy pipeline and continue to execute against that"
"So, I feel very good about it, and that is without a doubt one of the areas where we’ve invested in over the last few years"
"We actually feel really good about all of the technology that we have, and we were always on the lookout for small innovative companies"
"And I think both Mark and I have always talked about; we look for is it bringing our strategic advantage; what is the culture of the companies that we’re looking at, because we are very, very thoughtful about making sure that we continue to expand on the vision of what people want; and the third is financially whether it make sense"
"But we feel really good about the core value that we have, and we’ll continue to be on the lookout for things that meet our criteria in all of those; namely, continuing to expand strategically what we can do; ensuring that the culture fit is right, and financially making sense"
"I think, Kirk, from my point of view as we are going more and more to these large enterprises with solutions across the Creative Cloud, Document Cloud and the Marketing Cloud, we have a quarter back model, and the named account model with this quarter back is that they are clearly bringing to bear opportunities like the ones that you are talking about"
"If you are in there primarily with Marketing Cloud ensuring that we sell more solutions, sale Stock, sale Sign and continue to drive the CC DLAs"
"And so, I think the model that we have in the field is really one of how do we comprehensively to these larger accounts ensure that they are getting the benefit of the breadth of our solutions"
"So, a good question and it's clearly one of the areas that we are focused on"
"And since that was the last question, I think in summary, we were really pleased with the strong start to Q1. It was an outstanding quarter, and I think the Q2 targets that we gave reflect the continued momentum in the business"
"We're looking forward to next week's Adobe Summit, it's our largest ever"
"Thank you, Laura, and good afternoon to all of those listening in today"
"Ryzen CPUs have been consistently ranked among the top-selling processors at global etailers and retailers, and press reviews and end-user sentiments have highlighted the strong performance and value proposition"
"In early April, we launched our enthusiast-class Ryzen 5 processors and received overwhelmingly positive reviews that demonstrate our multi-threaded leadership and unmatched value proposition"
The Ryzen CPU partner ecosystem also continues to strengthen
We have seated more than 300 software developers to support their work optimizing for Ryzen CPUs and have already seen double-digit performance gains across a number of top-tier gaming titles
"Last week, the first Ryzen-based OEM gaming desktops were announced, and we continue the rapid rollout of Ryzen-powered systems with additional launches planned for major OEMs later this quarter"
"In early Q2, we launched four new Radeon RX 500 GPUs, featuring our Polaris architecture that deliver improved performance"
These new mainstream GPUs provide a compelling solution for the millions of gamers looking to upgrade their PCs to support advanced display technologies and deliver optimal gaming experiences
"Vega is a forward-looking architecture that combines a revolutionary memory subsystem, next-generation compute engine, advanced pixel engine and new geometry pipeline to dramatically improve performance and energy efficiency for the next generation of GPU workloads"
"Turning to our Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom segment"
"We see solid demand for our latest FinFET based semi-custom offerings in 2017, including the planned holiday launch of Microsoft's 4K-focused Project Scorpio console featuring a new AMD SoC"
"On the data center front, in March we demonstrated that our upcoming Naples server CPU would offer more cores, I/O, and memory bandwidth when compared to the highest-end dual socket x86 server CPUs currently available, resulting in better performance across multiple workloads"
Naples platform development work continued to accelerate in the quarter
We are in the final stages of preparation in advance of launch and are very pleased with the status of our silicon and customer engagements
"Our focus in 2017 remains on launching our Naples server CPU with broad customer, partner and ecosystem support"
I look forward to discussing more about our long-term strategy at our Financial Analyst Day later this month
"Now, I'd like to turn the call over to Devinder to provide some additional color on our first quarter financial performance"
"So look, we're very pleased with how the Ryzen launch went"
We did Ryzen 7 first early March and then Ryzen 5 here in the middle of April
All of the feedback that we've gotten so far from both our customers and from end users has been very strong
"I think the value proposition is very strong at both the Ryzen 7 eight-core devices, as well as the Ryzen 5 four and six-core devices"
"Relative to how it performed in the quarter, actually, it performed as we expected"
"So with a global launch, we were reaching many distributors and many channel partners, and I think that's gone well"
"We did see some early shortages in terms of motherboards, and that was our motherboard partners ramping their supply in line with our CPU supply, but that was really dissipated after the first couple of weeks"
So I think that's the next piece of the Ryzen launch for us
And there will be a ramp of game consoles going into the second quarter
"So as we go into the second quarter, we certainly are adding both the Ryzen 5 in addition to the Ryzen 7. So if we look at the forward guidance, up 17% quarter-on-quarter, that is driven by additional Ryzen, as well as a semi-custom ramp that I just talked about"
"Everything that we see is – we're getting positive reception throughout the ecosystem and we're going to continue with go-to-market activities, and as I mentioned, the OEM component of that will kick in in the second quarter"
So both the 16-nanometer and the 14-nanometer have done really well
So it is focused on the price points above Polaris
So the Polaris refresh for us is the RX 500 series that we launched just a couple weeks ago
And that is what we would use in those mainstream price points in 2017.
So we are on track to launch the rest of the Ryzen portfolio in PCs
"We'll launch Ryzen 3 earlier in the second half, and then we will launch Ryzen mobile towards the holiday cycle for the second half"
"Stacy, maybe let me start and see if Devinder has some comments to add"
"Stacy, maybe I just want to clarify because I want to make sure that we were clear"
"I think it really is a full-year statement, and I think it's a recognition of, as we transition from 14-nanometer to 7-nanometer, 7-nanometer masks are substantially more expensive than 14. So I don't think you can exactly put it the way you put it"
"So, look, we're really pleased with where we are with the Naples program right now"
"And so, overall, I think, that is how the server outlook will be"
But you should see a number of customers announcing what AMD platforms over the next couple of quarters
So we believe we're highly differentiated with Naples in the sense that we have more cores
"So for certain workloads, I think, Naples is going to do very, very well, certainly, in the cloud as well as in certain HPC workloads and big data workloads that can use all of that memory and I/O bandwidth"
"We will be talking more about the positioning of Naples and the key workloads, as we go through the next couple of months prior to launch"
And now it's about making sure that we help our customers get to market
"John William Pitzer - Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC Lisa, can you hear me?"
John William Pitzer - Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC Yeah
"All right, John, that might be hard for me to answer very specifically, but let me give you the high-level view"
"So we started selling Ryzen on March 2, and a good piece of it was – basically for us positioning into the distributors"
"In terms of where we are in the transition, Ryzen, non-Ryzen, we still have a long ways to go"
"I mean, the way we should think about it is Ryzen 7 was at the very high-end"
"We have Ryzen 3 that will come next, and then we have the entire mobile portfolio as well"
"I think everything that we've seen, the ASP uplifts are definitely very beneficial"
So I think it's just – it will take us a couple of quarters to transition the overall portfolio over to Ryzen
"John William Pitzer - Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC Lisa, as a follow-up to that, I know you guys are coming up with an Analyst Day next month and some of these targets might change"
"So the long-term guidance, 36% to 40%, I think we have multiple ways of getting there"
"Certainly, on the PC side, it is not anticipating that we gain a significant amount of share over our historical numbers"
"I think as you go into 2018, you'll see a larger percentage of that be in servers"
John William Pitzer - Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC Thank you
"So without commenting on the exact numbers between Semi-Custom and Ryzen, I think, it's fair to say that the Semi-Custom business will have a reasonable ramp in the second quarter as will Ryzen"
"In terms of relative to our expectations, it's actually very close to our expectations of what we expected the ramp rate to be, as we're going into this new segment"
"As I think I've mentioned on one of the previous questions, we don't expect to be at peak run rate in the second quarter"
"And so, I think, the second quarter will certainly be higher than the first quarter"
"And we expect the second half to be higher than what we're seeing in the second quarter, as we ramp more and more SKUs, as more OEM platforms come online"
"As you guys know, the PC business tends to be a very back-half loaded business"
"On the GPU side, we actually haven't seen anything abnormal"
"From an inventory standpoint, we think it's normal to maybe even slightly lean because we were going through a transition from our 400 Series to 500 Series"
"From what we see, I think we feel good about the gaming segment overall"
"For us, it's not just the channel business, but it's the ramp of our OEM business"
So we have a number of new OEM systems that are also ramping here in the first half of the year
"As it relates to ASPs, we are excited with the launch of Vega that will see a significant improvement in our ASPs, just given our current presence in the high-end segment of the GPU market"
"So yes, overall, I think, we feel good about the market"
Maybe let me start on the OpEx and then have Devinder comment on the second piece of the question
"The key areas are in GPUs and server, and it's both on the R&D side as well as on some go-to-market"
We've actually added Sam [Samsung] to our CPU market coverage
"They will certainly continue through this year, and that's all contemplated in the model"
"We think, from a value proposition standpoint, performance, performance per dollar, it's very strong"
I think it's more of the ebb and flow of the market
And so that was just the timing of when the OEM platforms were ready
"And then, again, when you're launching so many different SKUs – I think, launching Ryzen 7 first, then Ryzen 5, then Ryzen 3 – was absolutely our plan to make sure that we hit all of the logistics and stuff on plan"
"But, overall, like I said, nothing different than what we expected"
"Thank you, Laura, and good afternoon to all those listening in today"
"All major PC OEMs have announced premium Ryzen-based desktop systems, with widespread availability expected for the back-to-school and holiday seasons"
"Demand for Radeon RX GPUs was strong in the quarter, driven by gaming and cryptocurrency mining"
"In June, we began the introduction of our Vega GPU architecture with the launch of the Radeon Vega Frontier Edition, delivering a powerful professional workstation graphics card designed to tackle demanding design, rendering and machine intelligence workloads"
"In addition, Apple also announced expanded iMac offerings, which are powered by the Radeon Pro 500 Series"
"These new GPU accelerators will significantly increase performance, efficiency and ease of implementation for machine learning and high-performance computing workloads"
We also showcased a server powered by AMD's EPYC SoC and four Radeon Instinct MI25 accelerators working together to deliver groundbreaking performance of 100 teraFLOPS
Interest and excitement are high as we recently started shipments of our Radeon Instinct MI25 accelerators to strategic datacenter customers
This console cycle continues to outpace previous cycles as Sony recently passed a milestone of 60 million PlayStation 4 consoles shipped
"Last month, Microsoft announced the new Xbox One X with availability in November"
This system will be Microsoft's smallest and most powerful Xbox ever made and will be based on the combination of high-performance CPU and GPU IP that only AMD can provide
"In our server business, last month, we launched our EPYC family of high-performance datacenter processors, reentering the incredibly important $16 billion datacenter market and setting several new industry performance records"
"With up to 32 high-performance Zen cores and an unparalleled feature set, our EPYC family of processors deliver greater competitive performance at every price point across a full range of integer, floating point, memory bandwidth and I/O benchmarks and workloads"
"Our two-socket and one-socket EPYC CPUs are designed to deliver industry-leading performance on critical enterprise, cloud and machine intelligence workloads and provide a substantial TCO advantage"
"At our EPYC launch event, we were joined by more than 20 leading server manufacturers and global ecosystem partners who showcased optimized support and EPYC-optimized platforms"
"We received compelling endorsements from OEM, cloud providers and mega datacenter operators, including HP Enterprise, Dell, Baidu, and Microsoft Azure, with more than 20 EPYC-based platforms announced at launch"
"And we expect an additional 20 EPYC platforms to be available in the second half of 2017. With the strong global ecosystem and customer interest we have built around our EPYC processor family, we are on track to reenter the datacenter market in a major way"
Now I'd like to turn the call over to Devinder to provide some additional color on our second quarter financial performance
The launch that we did in June was very well-received
"We had a number of customers as well as partners, OEM providers, ODM guys, as well as cloud providers who participated in that"
"In fact, we're adding additional customer support to really ensure that we help customers get their platforms up and running"
We would expect some additional customer announcements in the second half of the year
"And then as we stated with both cloud and the enterprise accounts, depending on their qualification cycles, it can take anywhere up to four quarters to qualify the parts"
"I think very good traction, and we continue to lean in hard on the datacenter opportunities"
So certainly the overall quarter for Graphics was strong
"Q2 tends to be seasonally down, and we were up in the quarter"
I would say the better performance was due to two things
"First of all, we did launch our RX 580 and RX 570 gaming cards in April"
"And those cards are very, very well-positioned in the market, so they're doing well with gamers"
"Relative to cryptocurrency, we have seen some elevated demand"
"If you look at GPUs across the world, the inventory in the channel is actually quite lean"
And so we're working on replenishing that inventory
"Our priority, though, really is on our core market, which is the gaming market"
And so a couple of things that we are certainly doing are we're prioritizing supply towards the gaming market
"So you'll see system integrators, as well as on some of the major e-tailers we have bundles with Ryzen and Radeon"
"And then some of our partners are also offering mining specific cards that have a different feature set, such that we're really segmenting the market between gaming and mining"
But we'll certainly continue to watch the developments around the blockchain technologies as they go forward
"So, look, I think the overall road map execution has been very good, very solid"
"I think our customers see that Ryzen performance, the EPYC performance on the CPU side, and then certainly the Vega performance on the GPU side have met our commitments"
"And the important thing, particularly in the enterprise market, as well as the commercial market, having a road map – a strong road map with multiple generations is important"
We stated at our Financial Analyst Day that we're already investing heavily in 7-nanometer
The 7-nanometer will be key for us on both the CPU and the GPU side
And I would say that development is progressing well
"We have multiple design teams that are working, and we expect that that will give us a strong competitive road map for the next several generations"
"When you take a look at our client business, think of it as desktop and mobile"
"And then within the desktop segment, it's channel and OEM"
"But when we look at where we are in the progression of the Ryzen rollout, we're still in the early innings"
So we had our first full quarter of Ryzen Desktop in the channel
And that will flow through into the second half of the year
And we should expect that as we go into the second half of the year and we have Ryzen really take off in the OEM sectors as well as once we introduce Ryzen Mobile towards the second half of the year is when you'll see sort of more of the full portfolio over to Ryzen
We do have a bit of a year-over-year headwind when we compare game consoles
"We will be launching Vega, actually, in a week at SIGGRAPH"
"And yes, Vega will be shipping into gaming, into professional workstations, as well as into the GPU compute segment in the third quarter"
"So I think from an overall standpoint, we see strong demand in graphics for the third quarter"
"And there is a crypto – probably, a cryptocurrency component as well relative to overall demand"
"And we are working with our add-in board partners to segment the markets in terms of the feature set that go into the cards, as well as prioritizing some of the gamer ecosystems"
So in terms of system integrator supply as well as bundling and OEM supply
So I think we are doing quite a bit to make sure that we protect against any downside as it relates to cryptocurrency
"But overall, I would view it as GPUs are strong, and we see GPUs continuing to be strong, and so it's a great market to be in"
"Yeah, Vivek, I think we are actually very pleased with sort of the conditions around the server market for us"
But I think the other conditions that are different and perhaps even more favorable than in the past is the fact that the cloud datacenter guys are making up such a large piece of the market and they tend to move faster in their qualification cycles given the fact that they have more control of their own software environment
I think that value proposition is recognized by the customer set
"Obviously, we continue to watch the competitive market"
"So I think, Vivek, you're referring to when we initially launched Ryzen 7, there were some games, particularly in 1080p resolution, that were not as good as some of the higher resolutions"
"We've seen game developers, content developers really sort of support the Ryzen ecosystem"
I've actually been very happy with how they've jumped on the support of it
"We have been continuing to improve the ecosystem, so if you look at the motherboards and if you look at the memory capability, they've significantly improved just in last three or four months"
"I think you'll see as we go through Threadripper launch, which is coming up very shortly, that the Ryzen ecosystem is strong"
"And as it relates to EPYC, I think very similar comments"
"I think the ecosystem has been very supportive of the EPYC processor family, and so I don't see that as an issue"
"I would say, Joe, we have a broad set of customers that we're engaging with"
"So, definitely we see top-tier cloud guys very engaged with EPYC and talking about a number of different instances"
"Microsoft Azure was at our launch event, and Baidu was at our launch event, and we're working with a number of other cloud vendors as well"
But we also have a very strong OEM support base as well
"So with HPE and Dell putting out a number of platforms with EPYC, I think that will ramp enterprise customers in 2018 as well"
"So I view it as really both sides of the equation are important for 2018. I think we will see cloud be a little lumpier, so certainly they tend to buy in stages"
"So they may be a little bit lumpier, but I think overall we are very focused on both cloud and enterprise accounts"
"Joe, it was completely a function of demand, demand within lead time"
"I think from a supply standpoint we've had a very strong supply chain across the board, across both CPU and GPUs"
"Overall, though, I think we're going into a stronger second half of the year"
"It's just demand was quite strong, particularly in the April, May timeframe is when we saw a spike, and it takes some time to react to those signals"
"Again, Hans, I think we have been working closely with a number of different customers, including in virtualized environments"
"We see no particular issues, other than just getting their platforms up and running"
And so I think we continue to believe EPYC will do very well in those environments
"Hans, actually, the feedback has been actually quite good"
"And I think, what we are able to do – obviously, it's a decision to make, right? We could've built one big monolithic chip, or we decided very strategically to build a modular approach, because it just gives us so much flexibility when we talk about the combination of CPU cores and I/O"
"I think there is some work to do to make sure that the latencies are appropriately taken care of, and the customers are working with us on that"
"I think the flexibility is really, really appreciated, particularly when you look at what we can do with single-socket servers as well"
So we feel very good about where EPYC is positioned
"I think the customer feedback continues to be very strong, and our goal is to get as many platforms out as possible with EPYC this year"
"When you look at our typical seasonality, as you said, we tend to be down in Q4. Now, semi-custom is still a large, large piece of our business, and semi-custom will peak in Q3 and it will come down in Q4. I also think that we want to be cognizant of the fact that some of the graphics demand that we see might be temporal"
So we're not counting on that staying through the full year
"Frankly, I think we'll see what happens with the whole mining stuff"
"But I think when you look overall, I think that it shows that the business is strengthening"
Ryzen will continue to grow through the second half
EPYC will continue to grow through the second half
Vega and our GPU business will continue to grow through the second half
"And the only headwind that we have is sort of the game console business, just as part of normal seasonality"
"So I think there are a couple points, John, that I want to make sure that we're clear about"
"Although OpEx is going up and R&D is going up, we're doing it in a very thoughtful fashion, and so staying within the confines of the business model is really important"
"And as Devinder said earlier, our model that we laid out at Financial Analyst Day for 2017 has us, let's call it at approximately 31% ER, and we're going to stay within that model for sure"
"It is fairly incremental in terms of adding things like customer support, field application engineering, software support, given that we're familiarizing people with our architecture"
Pitzer - Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC Thank you
"The Radeon Instinct, similarly, has a lot of interest from the marketplace"
We started shipping actually in July to some strategic datacenter customers
"There I think it is – this is definitely a lumpy business, and so it goes – as a cloud guy puts on a new instance, you would see a larger buy"
And we'll continue to invest and work closely with customers to ramp those platforms
We're being conservative in our estimates for what will happen as we get in the fourth quarter
I think the visibility is it's not – it's anyone's guess at this moment
"However, I think what we are doing very clearly is prioritizing sort of the core customer set so that we're segmenting the market"
"You can never segment it perfectly, but I think we are segmenting it well"
And we continue to be very closely in tune with our partners and how this develops
And my expectation is that there will be a leveling off of the demand at some point
"And as we fill the channels, that will become clear what the level-off point is"
"But right now, as we said, the channel inventories are very low"
"And so it's hard to call the absolute demand, and we're ensuring that we're not over-calling the demand"
We look forward to spending more time with you in the coming quarter and thank you for your time
Let me provide some specifics for the third quarter
We also took another step in our IP monetization efforts by closing a patent licensing agreement that had a positive impact on both our segments
"Operating income was $155 million in the third quarter of 2017, a solid improvement on $70 million a year ago"
"As you heard earlier from Lisa, customer interest and deployment plans are strong"
"Inventory at the end of the quarter was $794 million, down 5% from $833 million in the prior quarter"
Free cash flow was $32 million compared to $20 million in the year-ago period
"Before turning to our outlook for the fourth quarter of 2017, which is a 13-week quarter, let me remind you, for comparative purposes, that the fourth quarter of 2016 was a 14-week quarter"
"We do not anticipate significant changes to the diluted share count in the fourth quarter and you can find additional information regarding the share count in the CFO commentary, which is posted online"
"With that, I'll turn it back to Laura for Q&A session"
"Yeah, so, Vivek, just to remind you, in line – you've heard us talk about our IP monetization efforts, and this is very much in line with that"
"And as Lisa said, the benefit is spread over both the segments"
"I think if you look at IP from that standpoint, we have several IP deals in the pipeline for Q3. Basically, we thought it was likely that we would be able to close on IP-related deal in the quarter, and that's how it turned out"
"And then, obviously, there's opportunities from an IP standpoint to benefit the P&L if we go ahead and put that in the equation"
"I mentioned in our last call that holiday season traffic would play a large role in where we would land relative to our fourth quarter guidance, and it did"
Media-related traffic was particularly strong in the quarter
but also from upgrading and penetrating more of Akamai's solutions deeper into this customer base
"If you exclude the large Internet Platform Customers, which are based in the U.S"
"Moving in to 2017, we expect to see similar elevated levels of litigation spend"
"Excluding these charges, non-GAAP depreciation was $74 million consistent with Q3 levels and at the low end of our guidance due to the timing of some network deployments that shifted into Q1. Non-GAAP operating income for the fourth quarter was $174 million, up $10 million from Q3 levels and up $6 million from the same period last year"
"For the full year, the 2016 non-GAAP effective tax rate was just above 29%"
"Finally, our weighted average diluted share count for the fourth quarter was 175 million shares and in line with our guidance"
We expect 2017 capital expenditures to be back in line with our long-term model range
"Our balance sheet also remains very strong with roughly $1.6 billion in cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities on hand at the end of the quarter"
During the quarter we spent $79 million on share repurchases buying back roughly 1.3 million shares
"For the year, we spent $374 million buying back approximately 7 million shares"
"In addition, we expect further currency headwinds from the strengthening U.S"
"We also plan to broaden our offerings within our Security, Web Performance and Media Solutions portfolios"
This guidance also reflects a fully diluted share count of 175 million shares
"We expect to spend approximately $90 million and $96 million, excluding equity compensation"
We look forward to having an opportunity to go into more details with you about the business and future trends at our upcoming Investor Summit in Boston on March 14. Thank you
And now Tom and I would like to take your questions
"You'll see that continue to ramp and further penetrate in 2018, but it's probably going to take a couple of years to see it kind of fully penetrated"
"As an example for Cloud Security, which we've been in market now for a little over four years"
I think about 38% of our customers via Cloud Security Solutions
"So still a lot of ramp to go even in Cloud Security, so it takes a while to have those customers ramp, but you can certainly see that we started a few years ago from roughly a few million dollars in Cloud Security to now over $400 million"
We're in a good position with the DDoS solution because of our unique distributed platform
"For DDoS, it would be a different kind of approach"
So we don't see that as being a significant threat to the DDoS business
"And as we talked about, our share buyback is intended to offset dilution, but it's a programmatic trade that buys more shares when the stock price is lower and buys fewer shares when the stock price is higher"
"I think in years past, we averaged more than 1,000 hires per year"
So you should expect head count more similar to what it's been in the past than basically what it's been in 2016. Unknown Speaker Okay
"Well, yeah, I mean, as Tom mentioned that we probably will see continued decline in the Internet Platform Customers in the first quarter; one, because seasonally they declined Q4 to Q1 anyways, because they also have a seasonally stronger Q4. But I'd say the bigger component of it is not that, and it's more that we had a very strong Q4 for Media"
"Media traffic was kind of seasonally very, very strong"
"We had a large number of gaming releases, a fair number of software download events that the Media business can be a bit spiky that way"
"So some – I'd say the bigger part of the sequential decline is driven by the Media business, certainly not the performance in Security Solutions"
"But if you see that become more mainstream, I think we're poised to benefit significantly from that"
And you'll have surges at times and then it won't at other times
"You may see even a catalyst, as Tom mentioned, as you see more VR and things like that in the gaming space that require performance to work well, but I think that between things like that and OTT, that's going to be the cause of kind of re-acceleration in the Media business"
"Actually, the build-out that we're doing is, as you can imagine, our Security business now is on an annualized run-rate of over $400 million"
And so there's build-out we're doing to support our Security business
And there's also build-out that we're doing with our secure delivery network
"More customers want to have their traffic served over a secure delivery network, so we're building out capacity in that area"
"I mean, we'll cover it more at the upcoming Investor Summit, but I still think the long-term model for the company in the low 40s is the right one"
"But I think that even beyond 2017, we intend to operate the company in the high 30s"
We want to make sure we're investing to capitalize on that because now is the opportunity
That means we were 14% in 2016. We'll be back in the 16% to 18% range in 2017.
We've been able to take the offerings that we have and further penetrate them into the installed base
And there's still a significant opportunity to do more there
"I mentioned earlier that 38% of our customers buy security, so that means there's an opportunity for 62% of customers to actually buy one of our Security Solutions"
"And so I think you're going to see that we're going to further penetrate the offerings, and I think as we bring more innovation to the table, there's more of an opportunity to sell more into the installed base"
So it's whatever you're seeing is not really attributed to that
I don't think there's really been a fundamental change in the Internet platform companies in terms of their utilization quarter-to-quarter
"Generally, the trend that we expect to see is they're going to try to do more of the delivery themselves"
"Obviously, they'll take the easier stuff and work on that first"
That said this stuff is hard to do and to do well and actually to do affordably
So I think that we will continue to have business with these customers
You won't see it manifest itself significantly because it's going to take a while to get the head count on board and the spending to ramp
"So I think you're probably going to begin to see that effective in Q2. And then my expectation is that, again, it'll stay in the high 30s thereafter"
But I do expect that kind of in Q2 and beyond that it's going to operate in the high 30s
"Well, part of that is, again, when you talk about acceleration, you're talking about year-on-year"
I think you know that certainly the driver of that has been what's been going on with these large Internet Platform Customers
"And we've proven we can do that, Security being the most recent example"
"While there's more to sell there, I'd say that probably not a significant, significant opportunity there"
"And, yeah, we have seen when customers upgrade to Ion that there is an ARPU uplift at times, but I also think there's other things to sell for our Web Performance Solutions"
"As Tom mentioned, Image Manager is another offering to sell into the installed base"
"So if they're buying Ion, now they can buy Image Manager"
And I think you're going to see us have other adjacencies like that within Web Performance as well
"And then back to the top six customers of platform customers, is there any change you guys are seeing in terms of your share of the traffic that you're delivering relative to what the platform company may be doing themselves for using a multi-CDN strategy for?"
"It is important to note that while the pricing environment in the Media business remains highly competitive, aggregate price per bit declines remain roughly within historical norms"
The large Internet platform customers who are based in the U.S
"Excluding these charges, non-GAAP depreciation was $75 million, up slightly from Q4 levels and in line with our guidance"
"Finally, our weighted average diluted share count for the first quarter was 175 million shares, unchanged from Q4 levels and down 2 million shares from Q1 of last year"
"Our balance sheet also remains very strong with roughly $1.6 billion in cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities on hand at the end of the quarter"
"During the quarter, we spent $72 million on share repurchases, buying back roughly 1.1 million shares"
"Before we look ahead to Q2, I wanted to spend just a minute on our recent Investor Summit"
"For those of you that joined us in person or via the webcast, the themes we shared this year were the same as in prior years"
"As I said at the Investor Summit, we are committed to balancing both top-line and bottom-line over the long term"
This guidance also reflects a fully diluted share count of 174 million shares
"In summary, I am very excited about the opportunities that lie ahead for Akamai and our ability to execute on our plans for the long term"
"Thank you, and Tom and I would like to take your questions"
"Yeah, let me start with, we are very bullish on the Media business"
So it was relatively strong in January and then it moderated in February and then it moderated further in March
"And that was really the driver of kind of, I would say, missing our internal expectations"
"But I'd say we are very, very optimistic about the Media business long-term"
"And as we said to you guys before, the nature of the Media business is it does go through periods where traffic spikes, traffic softens at times"
"But over the long-term, we think this is a very good business and it will be a very good grower for the company"
"Well, you got to be careful because the Americas also includes our Media customers as well as our Web customers"
"Again, this tends to be the nature of the Media business"
And I think we've gone through these spells before where media surges and you start to see media accelerate
"That as gaming becomes more and more latency sensitive and performance sensitive, as you see more and more things like AR and VR that, I think, that all of a sudden, the differentiation for Akamai becomes more and more apparent"
"I think we're going to go through some near-term slowing in media, but optimistic about the long-term for media"
I'm not sure what else to tell you about the guidance
"So we expect that to further moderate to the areas that I mentioned, which is in the Americas and notably within gaming"
So I think what you're going to see here in the guide is you kind to do it at the midpoint
This is a business that is now a annualized run rate of $450 million
"So we're very, very positive about the Security business and our execution in the Security business"
"And you've got to remember, this is all subscription model offerings"
This is literally a subscription model business that now is approaching $0.5 billion
We certainly have more opportunity in our Asia Pacific markets where we're not nearly penetrated
"And I think, as Tom said, traffic is still growing very rapidly; it's just not growing as rapid a pace as we had projected"
"I'll take those and then Tom may, if he has anything else to offer"
"So we're not guiding necessarily, Michael, for the back half"
I think we're really talking about Media in particular
"There may be a quarter or two where you go through something lower than that, but we'll manage it back accordingly"
You're right with the moderation in media that I don't believe this moderation in media is going to be a long-term phenomenon
So I think there's enough opportunity in media that we can get media growing again and get the company back to double digits
I can remind you of a couple years ago when the Media business was growing significantly
I don't think that would be in the best interest of our shareholders or the company
"I think when it comes to that Media business, it's aggressive across the board with the entities that you just talked about"
"In fact, one group you didn't mention that you would have three to five years ago is the carrier"
The carriers were aggressively competing with us three to five years ago or in the past and now they're mostly standardized on Akamai's capabilities
"Generally speaking, those folks are taking, doing less in-house maybe than they did before"
I think they've recognized this is not their core area of expertise and doing more outsourcing going forward
"Obviously, these giant platform companies, most of those guys spend billions of dollars a year in infrastructure"
"And they're just at a different scale where it becomes possible for them to think about spending hundreds of millions more, trying to do some content delivery"
So I don't see that being an issue in terms of OTT going forward
"With the carriers, I think we're seeing actually the quality levels for video increase as opposed to a scenario you're describing where it would decrease"
"You get higher quality levels and we see the carriers already experimenting with sort of super-high quality, which means more traffic"
"So that, I think, it's more likely to go that way then to lower quality levels"
"On the other hand, maybe there's more traffic, which helps"
"There's Image Manager, there's Bot Manager, there's the next generation of Ion focused on mobile, the next generation of Kona, again, focused on mobile"
"If we look at the results, it was a little bit of a noisy fourth quarter for LoyaltyOne and Alliance Data due to expiry"
"Not only do we have more AIR MILES redeemed and expected due to heavy media attention to the issue, but also had a new law and act in Ontario of Canada which forced a one-time charge"
"Core EPS was $16.92, up 12% from 2015 and $0.02 better than guidance"
"In calculating core EPS, we added back the $242 million related to elimination expiry, but not the full breakage reset"
Expansion efforts in Canada continued to exceed expectations and U.S
"For AIR MILES it was tumultuous year with all the publicity surrounding the upcoming miles expiration date, AIR MILES issued increased 1% for 2016, below our expectations for about 3% as sponsor promotions dropped in Q4 as there was simply too much noise in Canada to be effective"
This is a normal change in accounted estimate and is reflected in our operating results
"In addition to non-core offering, essentially the old-value click business was a consistent issue all year as we endeavor to pivot it towards a more of a data-driven solution"
"There could be a little bit of positivity to it based upon the trends we're seeing, but I basically think what has happened, Andrew, some of the changes we made in '15, where we could start a cardholder friendly had burned in and I would expect them to be stable, to maybe slightly increasing going forward"
"I'll tell you right now, we don't really see anything that's pressing for us in '17. What that means is we have $500 million authorized share repurchase plan"
"As Ed talked about before, it could be best used early in 2017, which we think will happen"
What that means is free cash flow at the [indiscernible] will be up a little bit year-over-year
That enables us to be more active with the buy back
"I think having been in it for 25 years, we were pretty good at looking at vintages and seeing what flows there"
"So what we do every year or throughout the year is we will go client by client, which is 155 different portfolios and within those clients, vintage by vintage and we will look at every single vintage and see how they are performing"
"Again, what has happened is you have a certain band of credit that you cater to and coming out of the great recession, we had people who were signing up for the card, who are at the very high end as the recovery continued and the people repaired their credit"
We had more and more people come into the allowable band and that's sort of what causes that normalization
"Again as I tell a lot of folks, we are returning to a level that is comfortable for us"
"It's a bottom's up, vintage-by-vintage, portfolio-by-portfolio, client-by-client look"
"A year ago we had a strong conviction that this would be sort of a year and-a-half, two-year cycle to normalize"
Now we can see it in terms of what the delinquency flows
"We can see it, the stuff normalizing as we look out six months"
"Now, the guest work is out of it and now it's just a question of 'let's get the next six months out of the way' and we're fully normalized"
Let’s go to the next slide and talk about LoyaltyOne
This is the whole we’ve talked about before
"From a collector standpoint, our active collector statistics overall are down from last year but on par with 2015 levels"
"Our promotions in market such as a recently completed cruise promotion where every mile earned during the qualifying period was an entry into one of 1,300 cruise packages are stimulating issuance per transaction which is positive news"
"Epsilon agency, auto and CRM were all at double digits with the CRM/Direct at a robust 47%"
Web mobile applications increased 13% while traditional channel applications such as in-store increased 6% during the quarter
Web mobile applications now count for over 30% of all applications
These capabilities will allow us to continue to add etailers such as Wayfair and its clients
"The APR we charged is variable rate tied to primary, an increase in prime rate will reset the APR to the card holder within 2 billion cycles"
"Again, that’s primarily focused around the Epsilon division"
"You’re right, we ended last year with about 1,000 associates in India"
The target will be to continue to grow that within the Epsilon division
"Based on the trends we’re seeing, should it be lower than 6.6% at year-end? I’d say based on trends now, that would be an accurate assumption"
"I’ll tell you what I look at most, George, is what did payroll do"
And I think that’s really the trend we’ll look to continue at the back half of the year
"Like we said, we had a couple of new programs within the auto we’re rolling out"
But the good cardholder does not and of itself they’re going to walk away from this account
"We had two small retailers go into liquidation, but they’re very small portfolios, really aren’t affecting us"
"In terms of any material client, there’s none that have given us any pause at this point"
"I’d say, Moshe, I think that the three clients we lost last year midyear definitely affected us"
They did shift to a little bit different model than what we’re providing for them
We’ve not seen any further client attrition
"I’d say, Ramsey, it’s a little bit early"
We’re just now introducing the packaged offering to the market
But it’s too early for us to really know what the answer is going to be there
I don’t expect it to be quite that good for the full year
"As Ed talked about, probably 20, 30 basis points versus a very strong start to the year"
I’d say it’s coming from pretty much all angles
"Obviously, it’s the influence of co-brand that we put in there over the last few years, which has a little bit lower OpEx"
I would say there’s really no one silver bullet
It’s a combination of different factors that really allowing us to drive that operating leverage
"The way we look at it, Ashish, we knew that we had a little pressure early in 2016 that will play through starting this year at 25.5% gross yield is consistent with the average we had last year"
"So we would tell you there could be a little positivity to it based upon, obviously, any changes with the Fed raising rates and so forth"
"The thing that always creates noise within your gross yields is if you do find a bulk file and you acquire it, it puts temporary pressure"
"It could up maybe 10, 20 basis points given further interest rate increases coming through"
"But really, it goes back to mid-2015. If you remember, we’ve put some changes in place that were cardholder friendly"
We had to burn through those issues in the temporary pressure we put
"And we would tell you at this point, we’re past that"
Let's slip to the next slide and talk about LoyaltyOne
"Fortunately, the future looks brighter for this segment"
"Importantly, the negative draw over from the elevated redemption rate is gone entering the fourth quarter of 2017. AIR MILES issued was down 7% year-over-year"
"Normal spend is on track, but we have seen less promotional activity in the grocery vertical"
We believe the onboarding of new clients will fill this hole quickly
The percentage is essentially being flat with last year
Now the question everyone has been asking what was the impact of the hurricanes
It is important to remember that this is a temporary impact
"Under FEMA-designated individual assistant disaster areas, affected cardholders are not required to make payments nor will any interest or late fees be assessed for two month period"
"If you had basically the same gross yields year-over-year, you'd see it flat-flat"
We would tell you we're still in the process of adding collectors
And we'll staff them up over the remaining of Q4. I would still expect the OpEx leveraging in Q4 to be better year-over-year
"That said, we're still very much on trend to that guidance we gave last quarter of about 40 to 50 basis points improvement on an annual basis"
So you have to basically influence the fact that you take a whack on your gross yields is not influencing your OpEx
"So if they were in to 150 days past due and they were affected, it would just mean that's going to freeze and that would not have rolled into the charge off after 180 days"
"I'd say, Dan, we think the core is still very strong"
"Occasionally, you get some timing differentials when new programs are coming onboard"
We'd expect it to bounce back in Q4. We just had a little bit of a timing with fewer new programs launched in Q3 than what we've been doing before
"But like I said, I think that will bounce back in Q4."
"Occasionally, it just shifts as to which quarters till when the program is going to onboard"
"And I would say, we said a little bit lower in Q3."
It was about $40 million impact to card and a $40 million to total
That number can jump up to north of 40% in the fourth quarter as you get the holiday spend
"It's the traditional bricks-and-mortar or about 85% in store, 15% online"
"So that's really the ability for us to capture the data, identify you, track you online and give you a relevant target it off and it gives us the ability to do that"
"We'd put it this way, Darrin, is the improvement is not definitive on us onboarding Signet"
We estimate that it's up to 15% of our accounts were within the Florida affected area and the Houston and Texas affected area
"That doesn't mean that all of them would have gone into this program, but it's up to 15% of our accounts were affected"
"I’d hate to say anything is permanent, but I'd tell you what we would target is about 20 basis points improvement per year, and that's expressed as a percentage of average AR"
"Tim, we'd tell you not really anything that we've seen different between the interactions online versus bricks-and-mortar"
"That's just the ability to minimize shopping cart abandonment, the ability to capture"
The shift you saw that is put in held-for-sale is a vertical that's really just not a core vertical for us
"It's something we'd probably look to try to get off our books toward the end of this year, early next year"
It's really time for us to basically do a little bit of cathartic process to the file and get rid of the things that we don't want to focus on
"And so that shift to held-for-sale, that's exactly that small vertical that we're just decided not to pursue"
"So just like we saw in June, we saw a little bit of improvement in recovery rate"
"So it's a combination of natural trends, a little bit of sale of previously charged-off paper that really drove the improvement"
"All of you should have the prepared remarks document, which is the best source for our financial details"
That's up from 23% in Q4 last year and just 19% two years ago
That's a lot of progress over a relatively short period of time as we continue to grow the volume of business with both our large enterprise customers as well as on our e-store
As we indicated we believe there is still room for our direct business to grow over the next few years as we progress on the model transition
We started the year with a goal of keeping non-GAAP spend flat to down 1% we ended up reducing it by 3% for the fiscal year and 4% in the fourth quarter
We accomplish this by making sure we're investing in critical elements of our transition by reducing standard other areas
"Part of the reduction this year was the result of the restructuring we announced at the beginning of the year, coupled with a relentless focus on driving efficiencies across the organization"
We remain committed to keeping spend flat through fiscal 2019 and believe that we can do so without compromising the long-term health of the company
"As I mentioned in December, the work we've been doing over the past several quarters on our operating structure has allowed us to move about $1.7 billion of our offshore cash into foreign subsidiaries that are branches of Autodesk U.S"
If we look at our cash balance at quarter end approximately 85% can be used without incremental U.S
Of course we need to keep some of our cash for operating needs but we intend to put the majority of it into our stock buyback program and execute on that over the next several quarters using both programmatic and opportunistic means
We've been increasing our buyback this year and in Q4 we repurchased 2.9 million shares
For the year we repurchased nearly10 million shares resulting in a reduction of over 4 million
We're making steady progress on this front and over the past two years of reduced our basic share count by about 3%
Overall we're extremely pleased with our Q4 and full-year fiscal 2017 results
"We have increased confidence of the transition is working for our customers, for our partners and for Autodesk and they were on track for the fiscal 2020 targets we set"
"I turn now to our outlook our view of the global economic conditions remains consistent with our view of the past several quarters, but most of the mature markets performing relatively well, but many of the emerging markets have been challenging"
"We continue to monitor for changes in Europe stemming from Brexit, but today we have not experienced any impact"
"it's far too early to determine any impact from proposed policy changes around tax reform, trade in tariffs, infrastructure spend or whatever the next executive order might be"
"As we look ahead to fiscal 2018, it will be our first full-year in the subscription only model and as such we believe it's prudent to take an appropriately conservative approach to our outlook for the year, while remaining confident in our ability to achieve our long-term targets"
"Subscription additions are projected to increase by 600,000 to 650,000, which equates to about a 20% increase"
"To alleviate the need for the recon table, we've been including in prepared remarks and should significantly improve the link between our financials and our business model transition"
"We apply this methodology to our fiscal 2017 results, our total ARR would have been about $40 million higher"
"We have factored this change into our guidance assumptions for fiscal 2018, so that we are comparing apples-to-apples"
And we will give you visibility to all of fiscal 2017 with the small tweak
"To wrap things up, we've executed well over the past several quarters and we are looking forward to building on the success as we head into fiscal 2018 and the next stage of our transition"
I want to thank our employees and partners who have worked so hard to make last year a success
"As we undergo the CEO transition, both Andrew and Amar have our full confidence to lead the Company to continued success"
"Operator, we’d now like to open up the call for questions"
And Heather within that the strength comes from BIM 360 largely followed by Fusion and then shotgun
The price for maintenance after the 5% uplift is exact same price they would pay if they converted to subscriptions incentive
So it's from a modeling standpoint for fiscal 2018 at the same whether they convert or not
What we'd say is that the 73K number was as expected
This was our largest pool of maintenance customers up for renewal and our renewal rate was exactly where we'd expect them to be
"So we will get better at tracking every single customer that goes from column A to column B, especially as we do the maintenance and subscription program"
But I think there was nothing unusual about this 73K number that we saw
"Ken, if you look at the seasonality of where we typically sold licenses, which is when the maintenance agreements will expire, right"
It’s an annual maintenance agreement when you sold the license becomes the same quarter that maintenance comes through
"The two biggest quarters for that are Q4 and Q1. So 73,000 in Q4 as Amar said was really – churn rate was right in line with our expectations, it is a big quarter in Q1 of renewal opportunities"
"In Q4, there's another big opportunity for renewals in Q1 as well"
"So obviously we're not guiding to that level of granularity, but it's not on line with what I would expect to see just based on the size of the renewal opportunity"
"Kash, we're not providing that level of granularity under new model, but as always happens in Q4. Q4 and Q1 are the biggest quarters for enterprise subscription adds, Q4 because we sell the most EBA’s and then they come on line throughout the quarter"
"Q1 is where we typically get the catch up because as you recall of EBA’s, we actually measure the active users because it’s a consumption model that's not a named user model, we haven't measure the active users and that takes 60 days before we can report those"
"And then to the second part of your question Rob, on 606. I could have probably actually let Amar that as well because he has been into it up to his eyeballs"
"We are not expecting it to have any impact and I think I mentioned to you last time we met and I've said it a couple of times, the person is now our System Controller, used to run our rev ops team and has been a member of the AICPA task force on 606 for a couple of years"
So we've had great insight into where this is headed and kind of how it's going to be interpreted and how the guidelines will be applied and going through what we're going through the business model transition
So we've been working this for quite some time and I think Andrew just mentioned and Amar did as well
And so we're quite confident that we're going to have a nominal impact from 606.
"So good question, I mean look I think our unit volume for this year was right where we expected it to be and I think our growing momentum based on the factors that Andrew touched upon, we are certainly seeing increasing momentum through license compliance to what we would have called a legacy customer base"
They're all factors that we believe will drive that result that we pointed to
"Yes, so one of the reasons we structured the program the way we did is we were really focused on minimizing the churn off of that maintenance base"
"So we feel that the way we structured the program, the huge incentives for loyalty that we're giving the maintenance customers is really a churn minimization plan"
"Our competitors have historically tried to make incursions into our installed base as we move to subscription, but the truth of the matter is none of them have been particularly successful and it's really hard to compete with software that that prices and accessibility levels that are far below what they've been historically when you come in with more expensive perpetual software"
So yes competitors try to make encourage their incursions
They haven't been successful and I think we structured this program as a churn minimization program with a primary goal
"Thank you, Christian, and thank you all for joining our call this morning"
"Additionally, within the midmarket and upmarkets in particular we also experienced the effects of political uncertainty leading up to and following on from the November U.S"
elections which slowed decision making among some clients and prospects during the quarter
Our value proposition remained wrong and we have a successful track record of managing change for our clients
"As you have seen with ADP many times in the past, change can provide us with significant opportunities to grow and expand our solutions to help deepen our client relationships"
"We expect that the environment in 2017 and beyond will be no exception and at this current uncertainty and related hesitancy, will be a short-term phenomenon"
"But at the same time, we remain cautious as we enter the time of the year when clients in our industry are most likely to change providers"
TMBC and its founder Marcus Buckingham are cutting-edge innovators in using data and research to drive talent management practices
"Their cloud-based performance and talent management solution now known as ADP StandOut coupled applications with coaching and education to give leaders the tools, insights and data needed to improve employee and team performance"
We look forward to delivering new data-driven solutions to the market that bring together the unique capabilities of ADP and TMBC
Other examples of our innovative successes can be seen in the traction of our ADP DataCloud and ADP Mobile Solutions app
"As you know, we introduced our ADP DataCloud to allow business leaders and HR professionals to generate actionable insights from the workforce data embedded in their ADP HCM solutions"
"Today, several thousand clients are using our DataCloud analytics platform and we continue to advance the solution with new capabilities"
"During the quarter, we added depth to the geographic benchmark data and added time and labor benchmarks such as market-based absence and overtime"
These new benchmarks are unique within HCM and leverage our close to 30 million anatomized U.S
employee records to assist HR professionals in developing and fine-tuning their strategies
"With respect to the ADP Mobile Solutions app, we recently announced the number of users has surpassed the 10 million mark"
Our Mobile Solutions app is the most downloaded app in the HCM market with users spanning 200 countries
"We've continued to add new features and functionality to embrace the modern users' needs from workers accessing stock profiles, editing team schedules or approving time-off requests to users changing their 401(k) contribution or viewing their account performance"
Organizations know that employees expect technology to be easy to use and accessible from anywhere while simultaneously being powerful and secure
Our Mobile Solutions app is the first app of its kind and continues to be consistently among the top three business apps in Apple App Store
"We welcomed more than 400 associates to a new signature building and anticipate our presence in Norfolk will ultimately reach 1,800 associates"
"We are similarly on track in hiring in Orlando where we expect to eventually have about 1,600 associates"
"We anticipate opening that facility in the spring of 2017 with a capacity of 1,500 associates in that location"
"Lastly, before I turn the call over to Jan, I would like to add how gratified we are for the recognition we continue to receive from the HCM industry and the customers we serve"
"During the quarter, ADP received the Everest Group's highest recognition for our GlobalView HCM solution"
"Their report recognized us for the scalability of our solution while noting ADP's reporting, analytics and mobile app are key differentiators for us"
"In addition, ADP DataCloud earned a Cloud Computing Innovation Award from Ventana Research, recognizing our ability to deliver positive business impact"
"In bestowing the award, Ventana noted ADP's ability to provide organizations with data that can reveal the workforce trends and provide the deep insights needed to make better business decisions"
"In closing, despite the recent uncertainty in the U.S"
"business environment, we continue to believe that change will be beneficial to us as we are well-positioned to help our clients navigate the complexities of HCM"
I remain confident in ADP's future and in the success of our strategic initiatives
"With that, I'll turn the call over to Jan for further review of our second quarter results and an update to our fiscal 2017 outlook"
"One was the known factor which is the difficult grow-over and obviously, we had some sense of that and factored it in in terms of our guidance for the year because we were obviously below our long-term 8% to 10% as a result of what we knew was going to be a more limited base to sell into since we had already sold half of our clients on ACA"
"So that was a known factor, but the reality is we didn't know exactly how much difficulty we would have in selling additional modules of ACA over what we sold last year"
So that is a factor that obviously has become more difficult to measure given the talk of the administration of repeal and replace of ACA
"So I guess, in a nutshell, whatever we assumed about the difficult grow-over, I think, it became a much more difficult grow-over as we think many companies in the midmarket and upmarket are probably – have a wait-and-see attitude in terms of what's going to happen around the Affordable Care Act"
"I think that there's also this kind of second factor which obviously we have no scientific way of measuring which feels like people are in general just delaying and waiting to see what happens not just with ACA, but with a variety of other things that the administration is talking about"
"Having said all that, there are also a lot of positive things and we see that reflected in some of the public markets or the equity markets in terms of anticipation of lower tax rates and fiscal stimulus and so forth"
"And in particular, one of the things that I noted, I've seen a chart that shows – I believe it's the NFIB confidence index, but small business confidence indexes are kind of off the charts positive and in a strange way, it's a little bit reflective of kind of what we're experiencing which is continued success which we don't give guidance by segment, but we have very good and strong new business bookings results in our down market and not so much in our mid and upmarket"
"And of course, the PEO, we generally consider to be a down market business but that business does have obviously a relationship to ACA and what's going on around regulation and the variety of regulations that had been talked about previously that now may be subject to change on a go-forward basis"
"So there's a lot of moving parts and hopefully that provides you a little bit of color, but we don't have really great precise scientific tool to be able to ascertain how much of the weakness is coming from each factor"
"I mean, the most obvious one is this the discussion around the Affordable Care Act, so we – as I mentioned in my prepared comments, ADP generally does well when there's change, but not when there's uncertainty about change"
And so I think a protracted debate about what replacement means or what will be happening is probably not helpful to us in terms of our new business bookings results
"So we, on a medium to long-term basis, are, I think, optimistic that whatever form comes of healthcare reform whether it's more state based or just a different way of providing because I think the administration appears to be committed to maintaining the number of people that have insurance so that will require some form of tracking and some form of enforcement or tax credits and it maybe more state based, but that's something that we hope to be able to help our clients navigate through when the administration and Congress, I think, get further along in terms of figuring out what exactly they want to do"
"And there's a number of other regulations that are probably less public and less significant on an individual new business bookings basis, but they all add up to quite a lot of bit of potential change which I think would be very good for ADP"
"As you can see from our retention notes, we haven't add – I think, Jan makes a great point which is what's fascinating is obviously the challenge for us right now is the new business bookings, but we haven't had cancellations or in fact we have clients that are still being implemented on ACA, but it's natural that once you've made a decision and you're committed and you're on the path and it is the law, by the way, it still is the law, it makes sense to go forward, but I can see how some people, if they're doing it in-house or doing it themselves might be hesitant to make a decision given the uncertainty around what's actually going to happen regarding the law"
"And by that I mean that we have seen several year decline in benefits participation rate, in other words how many eligible employees of the PEO actually take benefits and that sort of the trend upward as we got closer to the deadline"
"So the last, call it, two years right before ACA, given the fact that the law was intended to increase participation and companies were coming to the PEO in order to comply with the law, we saw those participation rates trend up"
And now we saw the increase in the second quarter be a smaller increase than in the prior second quarter and in the quarters before that
"And I think if your question was really around did our retention – I think, you started off by asking about retention, did retention benefit from slower decision, that's possible"
"So it is possible that on the other side of the coin, if you will, people didn't make as many decisions than we were able to hold on to clients, it'd have very difficult for us to measure that, but it's possible"
"And I think your broader question about overall pressure is a very, very good question which we spend a lot of time looking at and talking about"
It took some of the pressure that we had historically had off
"And we feel comfortable at least right now that we are in a place where we're able to still achieve the guidance that we've provided on a long-term basis, but over time that could change"
"But I think for now, I think we're in an okay position"
"And as I think we were clear in our comments, the second quarter exceeded our expectation"
"Other than that factor, we feel pretty good about where we are"
"Jan, I think to add to that, I think we have some historical data to support Jan's points like, obviously, we don't have any historical data to really be able to ascertain what's happening, what month and with what regulation"
"So we are in new business bookings, I think, somewhat tied to the strength of the economy and so, as Jan said – and we are, obviously, we try to be as transparent as possible"
We were sitting here talking about potentially entering a recession
"We would have to, I think, temper our optimism based on that 20 years of history"
"In terms of this issue of the specific regulations and change and so forth, there's also a lot of history in ADP"
"There's more than 20 years of history where even though there are bumps along the road in terms of the amount of regulation and the type of regulation, in general the trajectory has been in one direction"
"statement because governments try to effect public policy through employment and through employers, whether it's around safety, or taxes, or a variety of healthcare in this case"
"And so we like where we are, we like the space we operate in, and we're optimistic about, I think, the future, although obviously, we're not exactly happy about what's happening in the short term here"
Because the reality is that when we wake up every morning we're thinking about how you grow over $1.75 billion in new business bookings
And to give you a specific answer like in the next year or two we don't plan on sharing on this call that it had the same impact as ACA
I think the belief by them and by us is that we have obviously a very big data set to be able to enhance the work that they do to really help people create a better workforce
"And so I think the combination of the coaching, the data and the analytics along with combining that with ADP, I think, we think that we could really do something special here"
"I think that that's as good a math as – for example, when we had some challenges with retention in the last year, that's kind of the way to look at things is to use simple math to put things in perspective"
"We would obviously prefer to have $100 million then to not have the $100 million, but I think in the context of what we're trying to accomplish for the company from a value generation standpoint, EPS, share buybacks, et cetera, it really doesn't – for now, it doesn't have a major impact"
"So I think what we've had is we had – and I think we've been every quarter I think very, very clear"
"So clearly, maybe we didn't emphasize enough how much help we were getting"
"I think, as we said multiple times today, we're not going to a zero regulation environment"
"So 99% of the laws and regulations that affect employers are still in place today that were in place two months ago, and they're probably going to be in place a year and five years from now, and there may be new ones"
And so we have always been there to help our clients with compliance and with regulation
"Having said that, we're clearly entering a period of time with tightening labor markets where I think many employers' attention is going to turn to how to attract and retain a workforce"
"And this is something that we've been building to over the last four to five, six, seven years by investing in our talent management suites"
by investing in tools to help our clients use data and analytics to run their business better and manage a better workforce
"So we've been preparing fortunately for this strategic opportunity here for many years, and it's coming and it's coming fast because I believe we reported the ADP Employment Report this morning, and that's only going to add to I think the tighter labor markets"
"Because as we've seen multiple times in the last 20 to 30 years, as unemployment gets to the level that it's at now and we understand that there might still be a little bit of slack as a result of labor force participation, but that slack will also inevitably come out of the system, whether it's in 6 months or in 12 months"
"How do you attract and retain the best workforce when everyone else is trying to do the same thing? So we're not ready to say there's a war for talent yet, but clearly there are pockets of that"
"So as we mentioned, obviously some of the uncertainties that have been created as a result of this change in administration and the talk about repeal and replace of ACA are certainly not helping us in terms of our new business bookings here in the second quarter, but we still are pretty positive about our business model"
"I think you've heard that from us today that we're well positioned for helping our clients with what are becoming very, very tight labor markets, and we're also optimistic that there will be some change"
"In the meantime, we're going to rely on our historical track record of being able to navigate through obviously these uncertain times and wait for the inevitable pickup in the economic activity as well as government activity around some of these changes"
"Thank you for joining us, and we appreciate your interest in ADP"
"Thank you very much, Carlos, and good morning, everyone"
"Our effective tax rate this quarter was aided by an incremental tax benefit related to prior period software development efforts, $0.04 of which was not previously anticipated and $0.02 tax benefit related to the adoption of new stock-based compensation accounting guidance"
Our new business bookings performance this quarter was disappointing
"We're confident in the competitiveness of our portfolio and the strength of our distribution capabilities, and in turn, our ability to execute on our pipeline of market opportunities"
"Average client fund balances grew 2% on a reported basis, or 3% on a constant dollar basis compared to a year ago"
"As a result of improving employment, we have continued to see pressure from lower state unemployment insurance collections impact client fund balances"
This pressure was offset by a combination of wage inflation and growth in our pays per control metric
"And as a result, we now expect new business bookings for fiscal year 2017 to decline about 5% to 7% compared to the $1.75 billion sold in fiscal year 2016. We have also updated certain other elements of our fiscal 2017 forecast, which I will now take you through"
This forecast continues to include 1 percentage point of combined pressure from the sale of our CHSA and COBRA businesses and the impacts from foreign currency
The details of this forecast can be found in the supplemental slides on our Investor Relations website
"As a result of the software development related tax benefit, some of which was not previously contemplated in our prior guidance and the additional benefit related to the stock-based compensation accounting change, we now estimate our adjusted effective tax rate for fiscal year 2017 to be 31.4% as compared to our prior forecasted rate of 32.4%"
"Our forecast also continues to contemplate a return of excess cash to shareholders via share repurchases of $1.2 billion to $1. 4 billion, subject to market conditions during fiscal year 2017. This forecast includes any repurchases required to offset dilution related to employee benefit plans"
"So, with that, I will turn the call back to our operator to take your questions"
"In the process, clients continue to make buying decisions and buy incremental modules as they do, and we have seen that trend continue in particular in the midmarket"
"So the change – if a client buys more, I don't have the most recent statistics here, but I think the trends continue that a number of clients purchases incremental modules as they see the power of the integrated platform"
But it would be immaterial for the new business bookings number in total
"And I think that it is – as I think we've been trying to signal for, I think, probably three years if you go back to my notes, it's very hard because we're obviously in uncharted territories, because we were in something completely new"
"And it was a very comprehensive regulatory framework that required a lot of information from HR platforms, payroll platforms, benefit platforms, et cetera"
And this is why we were cautious all along because that is a little strong
"Now, what has now added, I think, potentially to that pressure, which again we can't quantify scientifically is that we have, I think, a different environment politically that's creating some uncertainty, that certainly has impacted our new business bookings"
We just can't put our finger on exactly to what extent
"So as an example, we knew we had a grow-over issue just for ACA itself because we had already sold 50% of our addressable client base"
"And even though we've gotten some, it's significantly lower than plan, which is not surprising given the headlines and the frequent votes on repeal and replace of ACA"
And so I think that's a second factor that I think was not certainly anticipated as we entered into this fiscal year in terms of our planning process
We knew we had to grow over the mathematical grow-over issue
"And then the third one that you mentioned, which again, is very hard for us to put our finger on, but I think you're onto something because we experienced the same thing back when we had the Y2K phenomenon in year 2000, where you do have some amount of pull forward, if you will, of business because we've seen this particularly on some of our wins last year from ERPs were quite high and elevated"
"And I think some of that, it appears, with the benefit of hindsight is, people on kind of older legacy technology trying to find a new solution for ACA"
"So as we mentioned, before we think some of our retention issues last year may have been related to the same factor of people kind of just out looking for new solutions as a result of what I would call an event, which is a significant event called ACA"
We really wish we could put our finger on exactly how much each one is accountable
"I think the only thing, Jim, just keep in mind our new guidance is down 5% to 7%, is our expected new business bookings guidance and I think Carlos captured it"
"And it always was meant to cover multiple year type of cycle elongated and it was not a commitment obviously, as you see realistically – not a commitment to perform every single fiscal year"
"a little comment to this on the outlook, which Carlos described correctly kind of roughly in line with fourth quarter and the full-year guidance"
"And maybe a tiny bit of further detail, Lisa, is when we look at our competitive position against this multitude of competitors in the quarter, some competitive positions have improved and some have not"
And that is a fairly typical thing we see each of these competitors evolving quarter-by-quarter up and down
"So when we say the general competitive dynamic we feel has not changed, it's rooted in this analysis, and we see in some cases we have improved and some cases we have not"
"So it's a mixed bag obviously, but we believe it hasn't changed"
"Well, next fiscal year, we are clearly half – still a little bit of grow-over but not that material"
So next year should be a clean year relative to the ACA-related grow-over
"Just a further clarification, we have tried to illustrate this a few times"
"And as a consequence, our clients (54:35) typically provides ADP-wide about 50% of our incremental new business bookings, however, come from selling more to existing clients"
And that dynamic has now changed because we have fuller bundles now in particular in the midmarket
"Just a quick reminder, as one of the advantages of ADP is that we serve such a broad range of segments and markets in the U.S"
"and globally and multinational, and so as we had our challenges in the mid and upmarket, we continue to perform tremendously in the down-market, in the PEO, multinational"
"You're never complete on operations, Mark, but the majority of our work is actually this fiscal year and next fiscal year"
So in next fiscal year I'd still anticipate some dual ops
"It's a fragmented and there's no clear trend to it, and so they go to a variety of different targets"
"Some in the ERP space, some to our traditional competitors, some to other solutions, so it is a wide range"
"And on the tax rate, Ashwin, this quarter was onetime unanticipated strong outcome relative to our tax strategies of the R&D credits"
"So this quarter is not a regular quarter, it was a onetime effect and so we're going to be returning to our – well, that said, we're not giving guidance for next year"
But it's certainly not going to be at the level that you saw in the third quarter
Our belief that our core strategic platforms need to be funded and need to be innovative
"So those may be the core tenets kind of really executing around the strategy that we have laid out for the last few years, also on 2018 is a fair assumption to make"
"Thank you, Christian, and thank you all for joining our call this morning"
"In line with expectations, our new business bookings declined 7% this quarter and 5% for the year"
"While we are disappointed with this year's overall bookings performance, it's important to look at the underlying dynamics"
"We continue to be very pleased with the momentum and performance of our downmarket and the PEO, both of which continue to demonstrate the value of a broad-based portfolio of solutions"
"And in turn, our ability to execute on our pipeline of market opportunities"
"Client satisfaction continues to improve, retention remains high on our strategic platforms, and we are pleased with our progress in upgrading our clients to our latest cloud-based solutions"
"This quarter, we are also pleased to see retention improvements across all our market segments with retention improving by 60 basis points and finishing ahead of our expectations"
Our excellent retention performance in the downmarket and improving performance in the midmarket reinforces our core belief that our focused and steady upgrade strategy is the right thing to do for our clients as well as for ADP in the long-term
"Last quarter, we mentioned the introduction of ADP Accountant Connect, where we are leveraging the scale of our strong 510,000-plus client base downmarket to create a compelling value – to create compelling value for our referral partners"
"This unique solution provides our accountant channel partners with a unified view of payroll, including reporting and tax information for our shared clients"
"We now have more than 8,000 accounting firms using the platform, which is making life easier for the accountants and the clients we share"
"This is helping to deepen relationships with an important source of referral business, while increasing our value proposition for RUN clients"
"We are incredibly pleased with the adoption of the platform by our accountant partners, and we're also especially pleased that we recently received the Accounting and Tax Technology Innovation Award (sic) [Tax & Accounting Technology Innovation Award] (6:39) by CPA Practice Advisor"
ADP's success is rooted in part on our ability to help clients manage through regulatory change
"This is especially true from our PEO, ADP TotalSource, which served more than 485,000 average worksite employees this quarter"
The value proposition of the PEO gets stronger as the complexities of managing the workforce increase and expectations of employees evolve
Great PEOs are built to adapt to these dynamics and help clients navigate these changes
"We're proud to be among the first PEOs to receive this important new designation, which certify that ADP adheres to the highest standards"
"Becoming a certified PEO, further distinguishes ADP and is a another example of the lengths to which we are willing to go to ensure our clients know they're working with a trusted partner"
"As our clients' needs have grown globally, so have our capabilities and our reach"
"And today, we are supporting clients in more than 110 countries around the world"
"Success in the HCM market on a global scale is not easy to achieve, given the complexities of doing business in many different countries and the local knowledge and understanding that is required to support clients"
"Constellation Research, a strategic advisory firm, recently recognized this by naming ADP GlobalView HCM to the Constellation ShortList for Human Capital Management Suites for the second consecutive quarter"
Constellation evaluated more than 25 global HCM platforms to determine the top five best-of-breed vendors
"In naming ADP to the ShortList, Constellation recognized us for the depth of our global compliance expertise"
"At the same time, we are beginning to see some signs of stabilization in our mid- and upmarkets new business bookings performance as we lap the difficult fiscal 2016 compares and the fiscal 2017 effects of regulatory uncertainty following the U.S"
"These dynamics, together with a continued strong performance of our multinational solutions, downmarket offerings, and the PEO, give us confidence heading into fiscal 2018. ADP is built for the long haul"
"We believe these efforts will continue to drive sustained long-term success for our clients, our associates and our shareholders"
"And with that, I'll turn the call over to Jan, who'll review our fiscal 2017 results in more detail and share our fiscal 2018 outlook"
"Well, I think as we've said in our comments, the midmarket, the PEO, multinational have all been quite strong"
"And really, especially, in a downmarket, as we mentioned, has been really no impact from this grow-over issue with ACA"
"So, we've, I think, had what I would consider to be the best results in several years in that space in the downmarket"
"I think in the upmarket, we did, I think, feel after November that there was some elongation in terms of decision-making, which is a little more logical because you have relatively sophisticated buyers there"
"And I think some were probably waiting to see what would happen with the regulatory environment, given that there was talk of repealing ACA and repealing a number of other regulations within weeks, as we all know that hasn't happened"
"And so, I think gradually things feel like they've gotten a little bit better and things have loosened up a bit"
"But as we know from what's going on in Washington yesterday and today, I think in that space in particular, I think there's still, I think some probably wait and see on the part of buyers"
"By the way, those – that will be two years of – so we had a step up of – and it was a 20 basis point impact of dual ops this year"
"And so you shouldn't have to, I think, worry too much about trying to figure out the analysis there"
Because should not be – should not enter into the picture
"Other than, obviously, we're incredibly excited about what is going to be the outcome of the Strategic Alignment Initiative down the road"
We're about halfway through in terms of the hiring plans
"So I would say that, I think, we joke around that I think this is the easy part"
"So putting buildings up and hiring people, we definitely accomplished it"
And we're right on track in terms of – and on schedule in terms of our objectives
"Obviously, they're in the process of being trained"
"So, I think all systems, so far, we haven't seen anything to indicate that our expectations that we had of the project are going to be anything other than what we expected"
So we're very excited that we've been able to kind of stay on track
But I think it's a little early to really declare victory
"Not to mention, obviously, the consolidation effect of having large groups of associates, which we've seen already in two locations that we've had for several years, El Paso and Augusta, creates very, very high engagement, better NPS scores, better client experience, and better associate experience as well"
"And I think the last thing you mentioned, which should also, I think, address is, is it related to pricing, and the answer is not"
"For the last several years, we've been trying to gradually bring down our, 'price increase'"
It's not a big deal on the 'overall gross and net price increase that we passed through to our clients
So – but there's no change in pricing in terms of new business or the competitive environment or anything to that effect
The good news for us is that the scale really starts to pick up again for us in the second half
"So if you look at the way this issue has worked with the grow over, part of the confusion might be related to the fact that our fiscal year is in the middle of – obviously, ends in the middle of the year, and the impacts are really calendar-year impacts"
"And so, if you go back and you look at quarterly numbers, you will see that we had two strong quarters the first half of this fiscal year, and then now we just had two relatively weak quarters because of the grow over issues"
"Now, of course, that means that we have to hit our plans in retention and new business bookings, but that's the way math does work"
"Everything we've been telling you, I think, is accurate about the impacts of the grow over of this ACA issue, which were significant"
"And so that affected our new business bookings, which is what's causing the grow over from new business bookings"
"And then, obviously, now, from a comparison standpoint, you lose a point"
"And so our hope is that once we get past the next couple of quarters, that we get back here to business as usual"
"I think our strength in particular – and we think we've talked about this for several years, is really our multinational solutions really do appear to be highly differentiated"
"And again, multinationals is both very, very large companies with very large populations of employees, but we also have multinational solutions for a company that may be headquartered somewhere in Europe and has 20 employees in four countries in Europe"
"So we really go all the way from very, very large Fortune 100 – or world Fortune 100 companies all the way to what I would call local multinationals, if you will, or regional multinationals"
"Our international business, I think, has gotten better on, what I would call, a relative basis, because it's been a difficult backdrop in Europe, which is our largest international business"
"We also have a business in APAC and Latin America, but our largest concentration other than Canada in North America is in Europe"
"And so that European business on a relative basis, slight improvement in the underlying pays per control"
It looks like GDP is starting to pick up a little bit there
So we've got good leadership and I think the business is performing very well
We're very happy with our international and multinational business
"I think in total is about $500 million, Jan? Is that"
"For rounding purposes, call international $1 billion"
"I think we did about a couple thousand this quarter, probably 2,500 to 3,000 the previous quarter to that"
"So we're kind of in the same general ballpark, which just as a reminder is much lower than it was at its peak when we were in the middle of ACA, because we had a lot of accelerated migrations in order to get clients on the right platforms to be able to do ACA compliance for them"
"And then with the benefit of hindsight, that was an issue for us that caused some of our retention challenges"
"We have I think it's 5,000 to 6,000 clients left in the midmarket? I'm checking for"
"And so you can see that at the pace that we're on now, we have a shot at getting it done by yearend"
"We might have, whatever, 500 clients, 1,000 clients left at yearend, that doesn't obviously concern me because we would have done, I think, 60,000 clients"
"So if we have to – and again, the way our business works is everything has to stop in the middle of November because of yearend"
"In other words, the company just becomes focused on getting through the yearend process"
"So it could be that we have 500 to 1,000. But it's obviously helping us on a number of fronts because our retention on our strategic platform is much higher than our legacy platform"
"So I think it's – I would say that it's probably not something that will be an enormous amount of focus for all of you going forward, but it is an incredible accomplishment"
"Because I was talking to the person who runs R&D for that organization about a week ago, and he named all the platforms that we had 10 years ago when he first went to that business"
"And we're down to one platform here, and we're close – almost across the finish line"
"I think your math is probably pretty close, directionally close"
So that's why you hear us being so keenly focused on retention over the last several quarters
"In terms of competitive information, we've said before that we really don't have any one competitor who takes more than 10% of our business, if you will"
"So there's really not – and that's been consistent for a long, long time"
"So we have a lot of competitors, who operate in multiple segment s"
The competitors in the downmarket are different from the midmarket
"But in general, we have competitors that tend to be more focused on a particular part of the market than us, which are broadly focused"
"In other words, clients that we lose to a particular competitor and clients we take away from a particular competitor"
"And again, this quarter, unfortunately, it's the same story as other quarters, which is there's no discernible pattern other than there were a couple of competitors in particular that we were able to reverse the tide on, which I'm incredibly proud of because as you point out, we have – there's a few of our competitors that aren't even at the size that you mentioned of $300 million"
"So there's some glimmers of hope in the last couple of quarters that when we put our minds to it, we can push back, and I think that having clients all-in-one platform, having ACA behind us, there's a number of factors that I think that give me confidence that that focus will be even more heightened on a going-forward basis"
"And that we'll be able to hopefully make that $300 million, $250 million or $200 million and hopefully slow down some of our competitors"
And I'll be careful and I'll let Jan do the closing here
"But even more, 'relief' and improvement in the second half"
And I would call it significant improvement and relief in the second half
"And again, that's all mathematical, and it all works that way, and I think that's probably – I said probably more than I should say, and I'll let Jan"
"But obviously we, for the sake of comparability and to make sure that it looks like other ADP business as we do exclude the pass-throughs in the way we count it"
So I'll add that we had record retention in a couple of other places as well
The SBS business in down-market had record retention
We had a couple of other places that had record retention as well
"And I think that in most of those cases, the only thing I can put my finger on is execution because they are good businesses, and there's a good backdrop"
"But for the benefit of hindsight, that's kind of always been true"
And I think the one variable seems to be execution
"And so the retention in SBS, for example, now in the downmarket is 3 to 4 percentage points, not basis points, higher than it was five or six years ago and higher than – and that much higher than we thought we would ever be able to achieve"
You heard what we were doing with things like Accountant Connect
It's very hard to do those things when you have three or four platforms
So we have a lot of data and many years of data around that
So new business bookings and retention have less visibility
"But we have ways of getting at what we think are the right targets, which I think as you mentioned are much better obviously in the second half"
"So again, all things being equal, if the economy cooperates and we continue to execute well and the math holds up historically for ADP, we should be able to get to those numbers"
"Those are kind of the controllables that we focus on that, I think we're doing frankly an exceptional job on right now"
"So we're now returning to our normal practice, which is we are anticipating to offset equity based dilution for our employer compensation, which is about $400 million or so"
And then we should expect – we're aiming to be back at our long-term model that we have shared
And I think the long-term model includes – not that we guide to it – but the long-term model anticipates the return of excess cash to our shareholders of approximately 1% – resulting into approximately 1% of share count reduction
"That will be our long-term model and pending on market conditions, obviously"
"Because as Jan just said, we put in incentives to try to get people over the finish line"
And so there's a lot of moving parts here that I think may have contributed
"But it was better than the alternative, so we're happy that we had the finish that we had"
"But I don't think that there's really anything you can scientifically read into it, other than maybe underneath the surface there's some better environment in terms of the – because some of the uncertainty – I mean, at some point people have to get back to business as usual despite what's going on in Washington with regulation and with ACA and so forth"
"I think with the right economic backdrop, I think should give me – and it does – a high level of confidence and optimism"
"Again, we haven't heard anything in terms of that would change, for example, the way taxes are collected in this country or that would affect our fluid – I'm not sure exactly maybe where – if there's something you think or you know that we don't know"
But we're not aware of anything other than they're trying to reduce the corporate tax rate
"And obviously there are some, I guess, preferences and benefits that are going to be taken away in order to do that, but those generally apply to, like, the energy sector, manufacturing sector and other"
So in theory there are going to be winners and losers
The people with very low effective tax rate are going to probably get an increase in their effective tax rate
And the people who have a high effective tax rate are going to see a decrease because the statutory corporate tax rate is going to – not going to – they're saying they're going to take it down
"So whether it's 25% or 20% or 30%, that can only help us"
And we don't have any significant tax preferences that we take advantage of that would go the other way
"From a client standpoint, we do have a tax credit business"
We haven't heard any talk about – those are targeted job credit-type taxes that are – tax breaks that are very popular
"So we haven't heard any talk about that, those being repealed"
"I would say it's very likely that if there's any tax reform, that it would be very positive for ADP"
"But obviously as Jan said, we have no sense of the likelihood of that"
And it feels like we have more of it than we had three years or five years ago or 10 years
And so it's very important for us to stay on top of it
"But if you're asking about 12 months specifically, there are definitely competitors who have gone – who have kind of come down segments or gone up segments"
"But I think, based on my experience at ADP, nothing different from what's been happening for decades where a competitor decides if they're in the downmarket, that they can go up into the midmarket"
"And they try it and then maybe three years later, they go back, or sometimes they stay"
"Likewise, we've always had enterprise-size competitors that are in the upmarket who decide to come downmarket a little bit into the midmarket"
"So I don't think I've seen anything worth, I guess, reporting"
But plenty of that type of stuff that you just mentioned
But I think it's normal competitive actions by competitors
"As you can see, I think these strategic initiatives that we've laid out over the last several years, I think are beginning to deliver on some of the objectives we have around not just shareholder value but also around delivering world-class solutions to our clients"
"Obviously, we continue to be excited about the prospects ahead of us"
We definitely have challenges in 2018 with a softer bookings performance
"And as you can tell, we're incredibly bullish and confident still"
"So thanks again for your interest in ADP, and thank you for joining us on the call today"
"Thank you, Christian, and thank you for joining our call this morning"
"Despite the short-term bookings pressure, we continue to be very pleased with the performance of our down-market businesses and the solid results in our multinational business"
Our client upgrade initiatives continue to progress nicely and now we have more than 83% of our clients on our strategic solutions
"I'm proud of these efforts and of our speed to execute, which have enabled us to rationalize our footprint by exiting nine subscale facilities this quarter"
This represents a closure of 63% of our total planned exits under this initiative in just over one year
It isn't just our own internal metrics that are helping tell the story
"Last month, G2 Crowd, a leading business software review platform ranked our Workforce Now solution number one in satisfaction for payroll and HR management suites in their fall mid-market grid report"
We're excited about the innovations we continue to introduce to the market that are helping clients meet the dynamic needs of an evolving workforce
"A few weeks ago, I had the opportunity to attend the HR Technology Conference in Las Vegas where few of these innovations took center stage"
"In addition to this recognition, we scored a second three-peat at the show after our Pay Equity Explore Solution was named one of HR Executive's Awesome New Technologies"
"Pay Equity Explorer is a powerful tool that combines data science and benchmarking and is built on the biggest data sect in HCM, the ADP Data Cloud"
"It was developed to help clients uncover insights and identify potential opportunities when it comes to gender or race pay gaps, so they can stay competitive in the war for talent"
"While we are incredibly excited about the solutions we are delivering in the market today, we are even more excited about the future"
"At the event, we previewed our next generation of client-centered innovation including a low code application development platform that enables internal and external development teams to build agile country, segment and client-specific applications, leveraging the latest technology and delivered by the public cloud"
We also shared progress on our efforts to deliver next-gen payroll and tax filing engines which will further increase our differentiation in payroll and payments
"At the core of HCM is ensuring employees are paid accurately, securely and in a timely fashion"
"For those not familiar, Global Cash Card is a leader in digital payments, including pay cards and other electronic accounts"
The digital payment space is an exciting one for the future of payroll
"From the employer's perspective, digital payments can be less expensive, more immediate and a more secure option than other means of payment such as paper checks"
"Fiscal 2018 is off to a good start, and we look forward to turning over full attention to advancing our strategy and delivering on our commitments to all stakeholders, clients, shareholders and associates alike"
"And with that, I'll turn the call over to Jan for a further review of our first quarter results"
"Well, I think as I mentioned in my comments, I think this quarter, the improvements were really across all of our ES segments"
"And as we've said in the past many times, retention can be a very volatile metric especially as you get into the up market"
"But this quarter, we happened to have good news and we're very happy about it"
"We see our NPS scores coming up and so, we're very pleased with that"
"I would say that, to your question about the mid-market, we are not finished yet with the migrations of our clients in the mid-market"
"We still think that we'll be close to done, if not done, by the end of the calendar year"
"But we do expect to be substantially done by the end of the year and that does put pressure on our retention because as we've mentioned multiple times, and the same still holds true, there's quite a substantial difference in retention between our strategic platform in mid-market and our legacy platform"
"So, what you're alluding to, we hope and we expect will happen a couple quarters from now as we get all these migrations and the mid-market behind us"
But that would not be one of the reasons why there was improvement in the mid-market as well as in the rest of ES this quarter
"So, the right way to look at this is about 60 basis point improvement in retention for the quarter"
"I don't think anything further to report there, but that's becoming a very large, we're close the 0.5 million worksite employees"
", if you look at it as, which we do, as an employer even though there are sub-clients"
"Obviously there's more than 10,000 clients in the PEO, but it's a very large – the way we treat it for, the way we have our retirement program and the way we have our workers' compensation and benefits, et cetera"
We are a co-employer and consider ourselves a co-employer for the purposes of some of the responsibilities around employment
"And so technically, I think we're probably in the top five now in terms of size of employers in the U.S"
"So just to make sure we get our language clear here, because we have introduced some new terminologies"
"So, when we refer to next-gen platforms, so we have our strategic platforms, which are Workforce Now, RUN, Vantage and our Global View multinationals platform"
We did start talking and we mentioned it in our introductory comments that we talked to industry analysts in mid-September about our next-generation platforms which we have only a handful of clients on today
"So, I just want to make sure I clarified the language there"
"As we go forward, we'll be more careful about making sure that we pick the right language"
"So, and I'm sorry, what was the rest of the question?"
"So since we still have a lot of work to do in the up-market where we've really only begun the migrations, I think that's consistent with what we've said before in our publicly released information around the proxy contest"
"It's very important to note that when we talk about our strategic platforms, we have a number of areas of our business where there's really no immediate plan to migrate or move clients"
"So, we could probably in the future be able to provide some more color around the quote-unquote addressable market"
"In other words, what part of our client base is really up for migration, if you will, but the right answer, the straight answer is 51%"
"But we're not aiming to get to 100%, I guess is the"
"We disclose a lot of information, again as we've been trying to communicate with shareholders about some of the things we've been doing here over the last five or six years"
"We've disclosed, I think, some additional information about that"
A large part of that was in the next generation platforms that we just announced recently that we've been working on here in some cases for three to four years
"So, that's a sense of what's happened with the innovation spend"
"On the maintenance spend, for the sake of I guess government work, it's about flat"
"But again, in the world of some inflation, the fact that we've held that constant, we see that as a good news story"
"It was a conscious effort to really shift the mix, if you will, in the balance of our spending to more innovation and less maintenance"
"A lot of our maintenance spend is focused on platforms that serve tens of millions of employees that get paid, both on our tax engine and our payroll engine"
"And so as we develop these next generation technologies, when we retire those legacy platforms, which is a ways down the road, then obviously, we would expect actual decreases in maintenance spend"
"But for the last several years, this has really been a story of increasing the spend and making sure that that spend is focused on innovation while we build out the necessary platforms to move clients to and then reduce the spending on those legacy platforms"
We have retired I think it's around 13 legacy platforms
"So, it's the first time in a long time at ADP that we've actually retired things"
"So, it's not like we haven't made any progress, but those were relatively small dollar items in terms of the overall maintenance spend"
And we have no plans to get off of them in the next three to six months or any kind of timeframe like that
"So this is a, as we always say, this is an evolutionary process, not an overnight change"
"So, I'm going to let Jan maybe go through a few of the numbers here"
But just quickly on the hurricanes and Jan will give you a sense of impact
"But I just want to take a moment to also point out that these were massive storms, especially in Houston and in Puerto Rico"
We obviously have a very large presence in Texas and in Houston specifically
"And what our associates and our infrastructure people did to be able to continue our business, not necessarily as usual, but to make sure the business went forward and that we served our clients was nothing short of heroic, including flying airplanes from Tampa when no other planes were flying into Puerto Rico to deliver supplies to our associates but also to deliver payrolls to the businesses that were actually still functioning and still wanting to pay their people so that they would be able to actually have money for, in obviously what was an incredible crisis"
"So, the fact that you're asking the question, I think shows the strength of ADP that we continued to perform and to deliver business as usual in the face of what was obviously a very, very challenging situation"
I think Jan maybe has a little bit of color on the numbers
"And just to point out, there have been times in our history in the PEO where it's been even higher than this"
"So as Jan said, it really depends on the general health care inflation environment"
"It's clearly not sustainable from a – it's not just about our PEO or our own company, but this is why there was healthcare reform to begin with, that you can't have this kind of healthcare inflation for a long period of time, because it just doesn't work from an economy standpoint"
"So, it's safe to say that this is a number that has to, by definition, maybe not over a quarter or two or over one year, but that number has to at some point converge or regress back to the mean"
"And this is probably from a three or four year standpoint, this is probably the highest it's been and it's probably in line with what you're hearing out in the world, right"
Which is healthcare inflation's picking up a little bit
Because what we're focused on is growing EPS and creating value for our shareholders
"One last thing, because you did mention about the distraction on the – I just wanted to answer that question because others may have the same question"
"I think the way I have been, had a lot of investors asking is the same thing, because there's a lot of concern about the distraction of the proxy contest and I would say that it's an extremely high distraction for an extremely small group of people"
"I think we had, we obviously feel better about what's going on with retention and I think the trends in the business"
But I think you're correct that that just happens to be the way the numbers have fall out as well
"And so that was an important part of that picture, if you will, in small business, the improvement in retention"
"I am hopeful, based on what we're seeing so far, that we are going to experience good improvements in retention in our mid-market as well once we're through migrations all of our clients on one platform"
But the absolute starting point is important as it is always in any situation
"And again, we don't give specifics sub segment data if you will"
"Neither do any of our competitors, I would just point out"
But it's just important to note that some of what's happening in terms of these numbers is still these mathematical grow-overs and comparisons
"And the two quarters that we're in right now, the quarter that we're just reporting plus the next quarter, are really mirror images of the first two quarters of the calendar year"
"And so we had 12 months of easy comparisons, and then we had 12 months of hard comparisons"
"And we have, I guess right now, a couple more months before we get through those difficult comparisons"
"Well we hope, we do for example invite clients on a regular basis to visit our Innovation Center in New York City in Chelsea to kind of get first hand knowledge of some of the things that we're working on"
We have other things that we are working on as well that we share with our clients
"I think that would be true in each of our business segments, but it's obviously very important in the up-market enterprise space where the client lifecycles are very, very long"
So we have very high retention rates in our up-market business
"And obviously if they are staying with ADP for that long, that means they've already been through multiple changes in technology with ADP over the years"
"So these are all, I think, part of leveraging technology, which is one of the central themes that we've had here for the last five or six years"
"So the second part is a tricky question, because the way it gets shared, if you will, is it makes our company stronger"
"It allows us to, for example, theoretically, to be more careful with price increases"
"None of which – so I guess the answer is, we haven't changed anything"
"Like it hasn't – if rates were as you know because of the way our portfolio is laddered, even though we felt multiple years of pressure on the downside, we are getting a little bit of help here on the upside"
"But there's really, this isn't like an overnight, and I don't mean overnight in the sense of rates"
"But because of the laddering, there's not that kind of dramatic of a change that we are all of sudden that it's raining money out of the helicopters and we have to figure out what to do with it"
It's better than it was when it was going in the other direction
"So I think historically, I think it probably make us stronger, more competitive"
But we really don't – there's no pricing mechanism
"We didn't raise prices, when interest float income went down and rates went down"
And we don't plan on lowering prices when it goes up
"And, Jan, just to add, just to be even more clear, we lost $300 million in float income and that's assuming that the balances have stayed flat, but the balances actually grew from about $15 billion to over $20 billion during that period of time"
And I am thinking back to like 2007 and 2008 when we peaked in terms of our float income
"And as Jan just said, we don't have those kinds of arrangements"
We didn't increase our prices when that was going on
And so I think it feels fair to us to now enjoy the fruits of a better environment on a go-forward basis would be the way we would look at it
"So what we built was, we built a platform on which we can build apps that could serve a number of different clients"
"It could be used in the up-market and frankly someday, can be used in the mid-market"
We shared a lot of information with industry analysts and we're trying to share as much information with all of you without sharing so much information that it creates a competitive problem for us
And so we're not ready to say exactly what we're doing and where we're going
And that's really only talking about the low code development platform
So this is our gross-to-net payroll engine and our tax engine as well
There we expect and the plan is to have that be completely transparent
These engines are back-office engines that are really not visible to the clients
"And so there's really no expected impact assuming that we execute well in the kind of transition, if you will, to a new gross-to-net payroll and also tax engine"
"The expectation for improvements, though, are fairly significant in the sense that we'll have a lot more flexibility around the things we can do around payments"
"So we may choose to, we may not necessarily do it, but we'll have the ability to do same-day payments, real-time payments"
"We'll have a lot more flexibility around speed to make changes, whether they're statutory or competitive changes in our systems"
"So these are really modernization efforts because those platforms serve us incredibly well today at high scale, high reliability and high security"
"And the other, I'm sorry the second part of your question was?"
"So I have to preface my comments by saying, it hasn't been exactly business as usual"
"So one of the things we did last year is, in the face of the challenges we were having, we decided to actually invest in head count"
"And we opted last year really to, in order to make sure that we had a good couple of years of new business bookings, we invested in our head count"
That's pretty healthy for us when you look at the last five or six years
"So I guess the answer your question is, the reason we feel good about our forecast, which again is subject to interference by, as we just saw the government had a fairly large change in direction nine months ago"
"I don't think so because as Jan said, I mean I think it's first of all, it's early"
We're through the first quarter and I think you could tell that we feel good about our results
But I think it's way too early to think about how the first quarter impacts 2020 for us
"Yeah, and I think part of the reason for that is we've obviously invested a lot already"
But now we're in the process of quote-unquote hardening and also getting clients
"We do have clients, by the way, on each of the three next-generation platforms"
These are real platforms that we've invested hundreds of millions of dollars in over multiple years
"But from a timing standpoint, I think it's clearly way too early I think for us to be factoring those types of improvements into our forecast"
"Over the last several months, obviously we've been involved in this proxy contest and I just want to acknowledge for a minute our associates, because obviously, some of them may feel like their efforts have been put into question during this process"
"And as I mentioned, I think the distraction has been largely to a small group, but inevitably our associates also hear some of the noise out in the market"
And I just want to thank our associates for the resolve that they've had in delivering to our clients what the clients expect from ADP
"The dedication, I think, and the attentiveness and the integrity, more importantly, of our associates is what makes this company great and it's what our founder I think insisted on"
"And I'm confident that with their help and their support, we're going to continue to make ADP successful"
I also want by extension to thank our shareholders and the confidence they've put in our management and our board
"As we've gone around visiting and talking to investors, the encouragement that we've gotten from them, I think just strengthened our resolve to continue to do the right thing for them, and also on their behalf"
"And so with that, I want to thank you again for joining us, and thank you for your interest in ADP"
"Before reviewing the quarter and outlook in more detail, I'll make a few callouts to begin"
"We're reaffirming our fiscal year 2017 guidance this morning, and I will give you a sense on where we expect to land within those ranges"
Our effective tax rate after adjusting for the gain was 31.3%
"Our full-year GAAP tax rate is expected to be 33% or 34%, excluding the Message Automation gain"
I will touch on these topics again through my review of the quarter and our outlook
Adjusted EPS rose 19% to $0.69; and GAAP EPS grew by 21%
There are three items of note that had an impact on EPS
"Excluding the impact of the Message Automation gain, our tax rate was 31.3% in the third quarter"
"As we have in recent fiscal third quarters, we recognized one or more discrete items, which had the effect of lowering our third quarter rate that had only a small impact on the forecasted full-year rate"
"We expect our tax rate for the full year to be approximately 34%, excluding this gain and 33% with the gain"
That decline primarily reflects the shares Broadridge repurchased over the past three fiscal quarters
"Moving to slide 9. For the nine-month period, our adjusted operating income grew by 16%; and adjusted EPS rose 12%"
"Turning to slide 10, a review of the performance of our ICS and GTO segments"
These larger deals are typically more complex and have longer conversion times
"Moving on to slide 11. Broadridge's annual free cash flow generation is typically weighted to the second half of the year, and I expect fiscal 2017 to follow the same pattern"
Broadridge generated $130 million in free cash flow in the third quarter and $93 million year-to-date
"We continue to expect to achieve our guidance for the full-year free cash flow of $350 million to $400 million, inclusive of unusually high capital expenditures"
"At this point, we expect to be in the lower half of that range"
"During the third quarter, we invested $38 million in capital expenditures and software spend and spent $20 million net of cash to acquire Message Automation, adding to the compliance capabilities of our GTO business"
We also want to maintain an efficient and lean capital structure
"So, as our cash flow picked up, we increased our share repurchase activity"
"In total, Broadridge repurchased 1.6 million shares for an average price of $69. That brought our quarter-end outstanding share count to 117.1 million"
That capital return was in addition to the $40 million return with the quarterly dividend
"Now, let's turn to our fiscal year 2017 guidance, which can be found on slide 12. We are reaffirming our guidance for the full year"
There are few factors at play in the fourth quarter to note