Humans Need Not Apply #318

nelsonic · 2017-03-14T07:20:17Z

https://youtu.be/7Pq-S557XQU

nelsonic · 2017-03-15T05:00:01Z

@EdwardCodes did you watch it? (what did you think...?)

iteles · 2017-03-15T09:18:27Z

This goes further than I knew already, let alone in 5 years 😱

nelsonic · 2017-03-15T09:23:36Z

"The future is already here — it's just not very evenly distributed" ~ William Gibson

https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/William_Gibson

ghost · 2017-03-16T11:34:55Z

@nelsonic
So the answer for me is to seek improvement and we will always find a solution.

ghost · 2017-03-16T11:53:54Z

https://github.com/edwardcodes/edwardcodes.github.io/issues/2
I opened this issue yesterday, AI used as a weapon is a serious problem.

In response to Humans Need Not Apply
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ggN8wCWSIx4

nelsonic · 2017-03-25T12:53:10Z

Politicians are clueless: https://www.axios.com/tech-reacts-to-mnuchins-dismissal-of-ai-impact-on-jobs-2328061287.html

nelsonic · 2017-10-11T13:34:31Z

The 5 Technology-driven Disruptors will Eliminate 1/3 of Jobs in the World in the Next 20 years

Machine Learning: "ML" already being extensively used by Google, Amazon, Facebook & Apple ("GAFA") and many more smaller companies who are spotting the potential. Virtually all "white collar" jobs will be automated in the next 20 years as machines learn to do our work faster, better and cheaper!
See: https://hbr.org/2017/05/8-ways-machine-learning-is-improving-companies-work-processes
Blockchain: having a distributed immutable ledger that anyone can verify creates a level of accountability that will eliminate corruption, fraud and politicians lying about everything!
We have barely begun to see the disruption of the blockchain, learn it and be a part of the revolution! note: Bitcoin is the most popular implementation of a blockchain but it's not the "only" one by a long shot!
Autonomous Vehicles: aided by ML/AI this one is self-explanatory. up to 12% of the world population is involved in transporting goods and people using traditional automobiles, all of those will be replaced in the next 20 years.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/oliviergarret/2017/03/03/10-million-self-driving-cars-will-hit-the-road-by-2020-heres-how-to-profit/#22d5b7d77e50
Computer-Aided (point-of-use) Manufacturing ("CAM"): CAD + 3D Printing and Laster Cutting will enable products to be made at the point they are used. No longer will people need to go to Ikea, they will be able to print their kitchen table from "raw material" in less time than it takes to walk around the Ikea store!
Robot-Driven Vertical Farming: this might not appear to be a "game changer" given that it has existed for years, but consider the fact that the UN projects that world population will increase by 1.3 Billion people in the next 12 years and reach 9.7 Billion people by 2050, without a corresponding increase in energy and water-efficient food production innovation we would be in for a rough ride! So, expect to see "grow towers" popping up in cities (they are already happening in Singapore, Hong Kong and Berlin!) and expect people to get their daily veg directly out of their own tower-garden thus disrupting food retailing!

@dwyl we are prepared for all 5 of these and will be making significant investment of time and money into 4 of them (while letting Elon take care of #3).

nelsonic · 2018-02-10T17:19:12Z

https://www.nextplatform.com/2018/02/05/ai-will-not-taking-away-code-jobs-anytime-soon/

nelsonic · 2018-03-11T13:46:21Z

https://www.axios.com/americans-say-ai-poses-greater-job-threat-than-immigration-35bf5999-b061-491c-bb2a-553e7497da05.html

nelsonic · 2018-04-02T20:21:09Z

AI 'poses less risk to jobs than feared' says OECD http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-43618620

nelsonic · 2018-04-19T11:02:04Z

The Revolution Hasn’t Happened Yet ...
https://medium.com/@mijordan3/artificial-intelligence-the-revolution-hasnt-happened-yet-5e1d5812e1e7

nelsonic · 2018-05-30T13:43:29Z

AI Winter Is Well On Its Way: https://blog.piekniewski.info/2018/05/28/ai-winter-is-well-on-its-way/
via: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17184054

nelsonic · 2018-06-08T03:44:57Z

https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-waymo-europe/alphabets-waymo-hopes-to-bring-robo-taxi-service-to-europe-idUKKCN1J3244

nelsonic · 2018-06-20T23:57:22Z

https://www.popsci.com/artificial-intelligence-everywhere

nelsonic · 2018-08-06T12:31:29Z

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2018/aug/06/more-than-6m-workers-fear-being-replaced-by-machines-report (this barely scratches the surface!)

nelsonic · 2018-10-10T21:19:15Z

https://qz.com/1419418/uniqlo-cut-90-of-staff-at-one-warehouse-by-replacing-them-with-robots/

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18188242

nelsonic · 2018-12-05T16:43:28Z

Waymo One: https://medium.com/waymo/waymo-one-the-next-step-on-our-self-driving-journey-6d0c075b0e9b
über's days are numbered ... https://medium.com/waymo/riding-with-waymo-one-today-9ac8164c5c0e

Verge: https://youtu.be/WBkgs4u5tW0

nelsonic · 2018-12-16T11:28:06Z

Demis Hassabis, CEO, DeepMind - The Theory of Everything https://youtu.be/rbsqaJwpu6A

nelsonic · 2019-02-04T02:09:21Z

automation will 'take 800 million jobs by 2030'
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-42170100
Not really “news”... but it might be news to some people...

nelsonic · 2019-02-12T10:03:07Z

The dark side of the singularity: https://youtu.be/bJ6QmZ48jY4

nelsonic · 2019-02-19T13:42:06Z

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/national/wp/2019/02/17/feature/inside-the-race-to-replace-farmworkers-with-robots

Discussion: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=19190349

nelsonic · 2019-02-19T19:06:22Z

The Future of Employment: How Susceptible are Jobs to Computerisation?

I highly recommend everyone read this paper: The_Future_of_Employment.pdf
https://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/downloads/academic/The_Future_of_Employment.pdf
It's from 2013 (6 years ago) and probably was not counting on the advancements that DeepMind, Boston Dynamics and Waymo have made in recent years/months! Level 5 self-driving is much closer to being a reality than people think! It's more of a political barrier than a technical one at this stage.

On page 28 you will encounter the following graph indicating the 3 qualities people need to have/acquire in order to limit the chance they will be replaced by automation:

Notice how the first dimension that decides if the Machine/AI will replace people is "Social Intelligence". It's what I was saying you are already excellent at and I need to improve on.
The next one is creativity (the ability to solve problems in new ways), this will also be very difficult for machines to replace (until there is an AI singularity...) so focussing on creativity is super important.
Finally "Perception and manipulation", perceiving a novel situation and responding to it
while using one's hands to perform a complex task. The surgeon is a good example here. While machines will replace (or "augment", depending on who you ask) Doctors for diagnosis, the surgeon will still be required during non-routine surgery e.g. removal of cancerous tumours or reconstructive surgery following an accident because the situation will require "improvisation".

If you keep scrolling through the PDF to page 57 you will find the list of occupations/jobs least and most likely to be replaced by automation (from least- to most-computerisable).

The least likely:

The most likely:

If you work in a call centre doing Telemarketing, it's time to retrain!!
Consider becoming a "therapist", apparently we need more of them.

Meanwhile I know exactly what I'm focussing on: creativity. 💡

nelsonic · 2019-03-05T08:37:56Z

Last Week Tonight on Automation: https://youtu.be/_h1ooyyFkF0

“you can do a series of non routine tasks that require social intelligence, complex critical thinking and creative problem solving”

“The bad news is your job has been automated by a robot.
The good news is we have an opening for a robot repair person.
The bad news is we are working on a line of robot repairing robots.
We do not foresee more good news in the immediate future.”

nelsonic · 2019-03-06T16:44:36Z

https://youtu.be/gUc5oN_ffRo

nelsonic · 2019-03-15T10:38:53Z

Tesla Model Y will be Level 5 Autonomous ("feature complete") by the end of 2020.

https://youtu.be/knaskUXb12A

Autos are coming way sooner than most people think!

nelsonic · 2019-04-18T21:41:48Z

Should computers run the world? https://youtu.be/Rzhpf1Ai7Z4 (Hannah Fry RI lecture)

nelsonic · 2019-04-23T09:54:12Z

Tesla full self-driving by 2021: https://youtu.be/tlThdr3O5Qo

nelsonic · 2019-04-25T18:31:25Z

Tesla Autonomous Ride fleet (1M Vehicles) by 2021 https://youtu.be/YiWbdZ8ItRs

nelsonic · 2019-06-24T11:14:26Z

The progress is accelerating much faster than most people think ...

https://youtu.be/ZJixNvx9BAc

nelsonic · 2019-08-19T11:10:42Z

Is Universal Basic Income the answer? https://youtu.be/cTsEzmFamZ8

nelsonic · 2019-08-22T17:13:04Z

Why call centers will be replaced by bots: https://youtu.be/eD__3i8Di-k

nelsonic · 2019-11-03T23:20:18Z

https://www.ccn.com/billionaire-ray-dalio-world-economy-threat-jobs

nelsonic · 2019-11-08T08:22:38Z

https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/film/in-the-age-of-ai/

Avec VPN:

@iteles want to watch this documentary together...?

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Humans Need Not Apply #318

Humans Need Not Apply #318

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Humans Need Not Apply #318

Humans Need Not Apply #318

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The Future of Employment: How Susceptible are Jobs to Computerisation?

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