diff --git a/config.yaml b/config.yaml index de45a34..ee937e8 100644 --- a/config.yaml +++ b/config.yaml @@ -5,7 +5,8 @@ general: 'realTraffic', 'realKnownCause', 'realAdExchange', - 'realAWSCloudWatch', + 'realAWSCloudwatch', +# 'M4Hourly' ] scaler_path_nbeats: "/Volumes/GoogleDrive/My Drive/Colab_Notebooks/model/n_beats/scaler.pickle" model_path_nbeats: "/Volumes/GoogleDrive/My Drive/Colab_Notebooks/model/n_beats/n_beats.pickle" @@ -21,10 +22,10 @@ model: "weekofyear" ] time_varying_known_reals: [ "time_idx" ] - batch_size: 1024 - max_epochs: 3000 + batch_size: 512 + max_epochs: 600 gpus: 1 - learning_rate: 0.001 + learning_rate: 0.005 hidden_size: 100 dropout: 0.21387145479502692 hidden_continuous_size: 50 diff --git a/data/M4Hourly/T1.csv b/data/M4Hourly/T1.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..4bd0c1d --- /dev/null +++ b/data/M4Hourly/T1.csv @@ -0,0 +1,749 @@ +date,value +2015-07-01 12:00:00,605.0 +2015-07-01 13:00:00,586.0 +2015-07-01 14:00:00,586.0 +2015-07-01 15:00:00,559.0 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23:00:00,16400.0 +2015-08-01 00:00:00,18181.0 +2015-08-01 01:00:00,19684.0 +2015-08-01 02:00:00,21290.0 +2015-08-01 03:00:00,22578.0 +2015-08-01 04:00:00,23345.0 +2015-08-01 05:00:00,23831.0 +2015-08-01 06:00:00,24328.0 +2015-08-01 07:00:00,24470.0 +2015-08-01 08:00:00,24707.0 +2015-08-01 09:00:00,24902.0 +2015-08-01 10:00:00,24726.0 +2015-08-01 11:00:00,24039.0 +2015-08-01 12:00:00,22946.0 +2015-08-01 13:00:00,22217.0 +2015-08-01 14:00:00,21416.0 +2015-08-01 15:00:00,19531.0 diff --git a/load_data.py b/load_data.py index 6523b63..32ab093 100644 --- a/load_data.py +++ b/load_data.py @@ -2,6 +2,129 @@ from os.path import isfile, join import pickle import pandas as pd +from datetime import datetime +from numpy import distutils +import distutils.util + + +def convert_tsf_to_dataframe( + full_file_path_and_name, + replace_missing_vals_with='NaN', + value_column_name="series_value" +): + + col_names = [] + col_types = [] + all_data = {} + line_count = 0 + frequency = None + forecast_horizon = None + contain_missing_values = None + contain_equal_length = None + found_data_tag = False + found_data_section = False + started_reading_data_section = False + + with open(full_file_path_and_name, 'r', encoding='cp1252') as file: + for line in file: + # Strip white space from start/end of line + line = line.strip() + + if line: + if line.startswith("@"): # Read meta-data + if not line.startswith("@data"): + line_content = line.split(" ") + if line.startswith("@attribute"): + if len(line_content) != 3: # Attributes have both name and type + raise Exception("Invalid meta-data specification.") + + col_names.append(line_content[1]) + col_types.append(line_content[2]) + else: + if len(line_content) != 2: # Other meta-data have only values + raise Exception("Invalid meta-data specification.") + + if line.startswith("@frequency"): + frequency = line_content[1] + elif line.startswith("@horizon"): + forecast_horizon = int(line_content[1]) + elif line.startswith("@missing"): + contain_missing_values = bool(distutils.util.strtobool(line_content[1])) + elif line.startswith("@equallength"): + contain_equal_length = bool(distutils.util.strtobool(line_content[1])) + + else: + if len(col_names) == 0: + raise Exception("Missing attribute section. Attribute section must come before data.") + + found_data_tag = True + elif not line.startswith("#"): + if len(col_names) == 0: + raise Exception("Missing attribute section. Attribute section must come before data.") + elif not found_data_tag: + raise Exception("Missing @data tag.") + else: + if not started_reading_data_section: + started_reading_data_section = True + found_data_section = True + all_series = [] + + for col in col_names: + all_data[col] = [] + + full_info = line.split(":") + + if len(full_info) != (len(col_names) + 1): + raise Exception("Missing attributes/values in series.") + + series = full_info[len(full_info) - 1] + series = series.split(",") + + if len(series) == 0: + raise Exception("A given series should contains a set of comma separated numeric values. At least one numeric value should be there in a series. Missing values should be indicated with ? symbol") + + numeric_series = [] + + for val in series: + if val == "?": + numeric_series.append(replace_missing_vals_with) + else: + numeric_series.append(float(val)) + + if numeric_series.count(replace_missing_vals_with) == len(numeric_series): + raise Exception("All series values are missing. A given series should contains a set of comma separated numeric values. At least one numeric value should be there in a series.") + + all_series.append(pd.Series(numeric_series).array) + + for i in range(len(col_names)): + att_val = None + if col_types[i] == "numeric": + att_val = int(full_info[i]) + elif col_types[i] == "string": + att_val = str(full_info[i]) + elif col_types[i] == "date": + att_val = datetime.strptime(full_info[i], '%Y-%m-%d %H-%M-%S') + else: + raise Exception("Invalid attribute type.") # Currently, the code supports only numeric, string and date types. Extend this as required. + + if att_val == None: + raise Exception("Invalid attribute value.") + else: + all_data[col_names[i]].append(att_val) + + line_count = line_count + 1 + + if line_count == 0: + raise Exception("Empty file.") + if len(col_names) == 0: + raise Exception("Missing attribute section.") + if not found_data_section: + raise Exception("Missing series information under data section.") + + all_data[value_column_name] = all_series + loaded_data = pd.DataFrame(all_data) + + return loaded_data, frequency, forecast_horizon, contain_missing_values, contain_equal_length class LoadData: diff --git a/model/exponential_smoothing/T1.pickle b/model/exponential_smoothing/T1.pickle new file mode 100644 index 0000000..e6e123e Binary files /dev/null and b/model/exponential_smoothing/T1.pickle differ diff --git a/model/exponential_smoothing/T10.pickle b/model/exponential_smoothing/T10.pickle new file mode 100644 index 0000000..7d9515c Binary files /dev/null and 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100644 index 0000000..c7cf56c --- /dev/null +++ b/tsf_data_loader.py @@ -0,0 +1,37 @@ +from load_data import convert_tsf_to_dataframe +import pandas as pd + +loaded_data,\ +frequency,\ +forecast_horizon,\ +contain_missing_values,\ +contain_equal_length = convert_tsf_to_dataframe( + "/Users/nicolasfornasari/Downloads/m4_hourly_dataset.tsf" +) + +for serie_name, df_serie in loaded_data.groupby(by="series_name"): + start_timestamp = df_serie.start_timestamp.values[0] + serie = list(df_serie.series_value) + + if frequency == "hourly": + freq = "H" + + df = pd.DataFrame( + data=serie).T + + index = pd.date_range( + start=start_timestamp, + freq=freq, + periods=len(df) + ) + + df = df.set_index(index) + df = df.reset_index() + df.columns = ["date", "value"] + + df.to_csv( + f"data/M4Hourly/{serie_name}.csv", + index=False + ) + + print(serie_name)