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COVID19 temporal distancing analysis

social distancing

This R code accompanies a The Conversation article on the effects of spatial and temporal physical distancing in reducing the rate of COVID-19 infection: 'Want to make social distancing even more effective? It’s about time (as well as space'

Authors:

For code queries, contact: Professor Corey J. A. Bradshaw, Global Ecology, College of Science and Engineering, GPO Box 2100, Flinders University, Adelaide, South Australia 5001, Australia

[email protected] +61 (0) 400 697 665

Cellular automaton model to investigate reductions in COVID-19 infection rate with spatial and temporal physical distancing

This R code produces an R×C matrix populated by N individuals.

For each cell, individual is resampled from a maximum of half the matrix dimension, with each movement conditioned a binomial probability set by the user.

The process can be run over t time steps and s iterations.

Note, there is no recovery component included.

The user can define two additional parameters:

  1. A reduction in movement probability (spatial distancing)
  2. A reduction of in exposure (temporal distancing)