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Parameterize infection feedback strength in terms of the p_ed_visit #165

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dylanhmorris opened this issue Nov 25, 2024 · 1 comment
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@dylanhmorris
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Since infections are not directly observed, there's strong posterior correlation between the strength of the infection feedback and the inferred p_ed_visit given infection. Adding additional signals may weaken this problem, but it still seems best to parameterize the infection feedback relative to the infection --> observable rate to break the posterior correlation altogether. If there's concern about interpretability, one can always still place the prior and/or report the posterior on the rate in terms of raw incident infections.

@dylanhmorris
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dylanhmorris commented Nov 25, 2024

had guessed that this was the case but confirmed it with the analyses in #164

@damonbayer damonbayer added this to the Dec 2025 Scientific Improvements milestone Dec 10, 2024
@damonbayer damonbayer removed this from the Dec 2024 Scientific Improvements milestone Jan 15, 2025
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